Coherent, Inc. · COHR · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2024

Coherent: Datacom Growth Advances as Portfolio Review Begins

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient AI-related datacom demand and higher-speed transceiver growth remain important drivers, while the portfolio review, margin improvement and debt reduction must execute to convert that demand into durable earnings growth.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $45.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.61 Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.28B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.5% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +7.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.8% Up to 20 sessions
COHRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management shifted emphasis from resolving a temporary yield issue and raising guidance to a formal four-category portfolio review, investment reallocation, pricing optimization and continued capacity expansion. Datacom momentum remained the central growth theme, while guidance was maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance while emphasizing continued investment in high-growth datacom capacity and margin improvement.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue rose 8.7% sequentially and 9.1% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Datacom transceiver revenue grew 16% sequentially and 58% year over year, supported by 800G backlog and planned 1.6T ramps.
  • Management is reallocating investment toward high-growth areas while pursuing pricing and cost actions to improve margins.

Management priorities

  • Scale 800G, 400G ZR+/ZR and 1.6T transceiver capacity
  • Use portfolio assessment to direct capital and operating resources
  • Advance pricing optimization, product-cost reduction and leadership succession

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COHR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.42 Q3 '24 actual $0.53, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.60 Q4 '24 actual $0.61, match Q1 '25 estimate $0.61 Q1 '25 actual $0.74, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.04 Q1 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.21 Q2 '26 actual $1.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.40 Q3 '26 actual $1.41, match Q4 '26 estimate $1.62 Q4 '26 actual $1.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.98 Q2 '27 estimate $1.97 Q3 '27 estimate $2.14
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2477.4%
Neutral722.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$232.9Current
$52Low
$217.6Average
$455High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainApr 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 3, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJan 22, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 14, 2025
Northland Capital Markets Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 2, 2025
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2025
Craig-Hallum Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2024
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2023
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 11, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 9, 2023
William Blair Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 17, 2022
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeJan 21, 2021
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 12, 2020
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 28, 2020
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 24, 2020
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainDec 20, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2019
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 5, 2018
Northcoast Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 25, 2016
Sidoti & Co. Buy BuyMaintainJun 15, 2015
Noble Financial Buy HoldUpgradeJan 25, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $232.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$350$292.21 +50.3%Sep 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$400$277.83 +71.7%Aug 31, 2026
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$420$337.34 +80.3%Aug 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$448$348.88 +92.4%Aug 13, 2026
NeedhamRyan Koontz$420$355.64 +80.3%Aug 13, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$420$355.64 +80.3%Aug 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$435$368.65 +86.8%Jul 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$330$326 +41.7%May 7, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$230$323.58 -1.2%May 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$371$329.34 +59.3%May 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$412$329.89 +76.9%May 5, 2026
Redburn PartnersMike Harrison$455$319.71 +95.4%May 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$290$341.73 +24.5%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$250$248.18 +7.3%Feb 23, 2026
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$170$204.12 -27.0%Feb 5, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$235$198.78 +0.9%Feb 5, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$235$211 +0.9%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$190$228.51 -18.4%Jan 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$220$197.26 -5.5%Jan 22, 2026
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$235$197.26 +0.9%Jan 22, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$215$184.11 -7.7%Jan 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$180$175.2 -22.7%Dec 17, 2025
Raymond JamesSimon Leopold$210$177.35 -9.8%Dec 5, 2025
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$190$155.44 -18.4%Nov 6, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$160$155.44 -31.3%Nov 6, 2025
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$150$155.44 -35.6%Nov 6, 2025
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$150$120.79 -35.6%Oct 22, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$135$116.35 -42.0%Oct 20, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$120$122.35 -48.5%Oct 10, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$110$114.01 -52.8%Aug 14, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$106.74 -58.4%Aug 4, 2025
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$85$76.78 -63.5%Jun 2, 2025
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$91$76.71 -60.9%Mar 24, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$120$93 -48.5%Nov 7, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$105$98.44 -54.9%Oct 22, 2024
B.Riley FinancialDave Kang$86$102.07 -63.1%Oct 18, 2024
NeedhamJames Ricchiuti$120$104.62 -48.5%Oct 14, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$108$94.27 -53.6%Oct 4, 2024
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$120$88.91 -48.5%Oct 1, 2024
Craig-HallumRichard Shannon$85$74.39 -63.5%Aug 16, 2024
NeedhamJames Ricchiuti$84$73.96 -63.9%Aug 16, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$84$74.05 -63.9%Aug 16, 2024
NeedhamAlex Henderson$70$71.53 -69.9%Aug 15, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$75$66.7 -67.8%Aug 12, 2024
B.Riley FinancialDave Kang$77$60.62 -66.9%Apr 1, 2024
NeedhamJames Ricchiuti$72$60.62 -69.1%Apr 1, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$60$45.16 -74.2%Jan 16, 2024
NeedhamJim Ricchiuti$52$43.46 -77.7%Dec 15, 2023
NeedhamJames Ricchiuti$50$34.79 -78.5%Oct 11, 2023
NeedhamJim Ricchiuti$64$54.74 -72.5%Jun 20, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$45$35.41 -80.7%Dec 13, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$50$36.82 -78.5%Nov 28, 2022
BarclaysThomas O'Malley$65$71.55 -72.1%Jan 12, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesVivek Arya$80$71.24 -65.7%Jan 10, 2022
Craig-HallumRichard Shannon$100$74.49 -57.1%Jan 4, 2022
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$82$70.5 -64.8%Dec 15, 2021
Cowen & Co.Paul Silverstein$94$66.57 -59.6%Dec 13, 2021
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$75$64 -67.8%Nov 10, 2021
Deutsche BankSidney Ho$75$62.66 -67.8%Sep 1, 2021
Stifel NicolausJohn Marchetti$82$64.38 -64.8%Aug 11, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Coherent, Inc. specializes in advanced laser technologies, offering a comprehensive suite of products that includes lasers, laser-based solutions, and complete systems. These are deployed across a spectrum of uses, from commercial and industrial operations to critical scientific research. The company's operations are distinctly segmented into two primary areas: laser sources for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and industrial lasers alongside integrated systems. Coherent handles the entire lifecycle of its offerings, from conceptual design and manufacturing to global marketing and ongoing service.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T02:00:40.664879+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T02:00:40.662207+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.