Coherent, Inc. · COHR · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2024

Coherent: Datacom Growth Advances as Portfolio Review Begins

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient AI-related datacom demand and higher-speed transceiver growth remain important drivers, while the portfolio review, margin improvement and debt reduction must execute to convert that demand into durable earnings growth.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $45.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.61 Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.28B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.5% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +7.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.8% Up to 20 sessions
COHRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management shifted emphasis from resolving a temporary yield issue and raising guidance to a formal four-category portfolio review, investment reallocation, pricing optimization and continued capacity expansion. Datacom momentum remained the central growth theme, while guidance was maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance while emphasizing continued investment in high-growth datacom capacity and margin improvement.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue rose 8.7% sequentially and 9.1% year over year, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Datacom transceiver revenue grew 16% sequentially and 58% year over year, supported by 800G backlog and planned 1.6T ramps.
  • Management is reallocating investment toward high-growth areas while pursuing pricing and cost actions to improve margins.

Management priorities

  • Scale 800G, 400G ZR+/ZR and 1.6T transceiver capacity
  • Use portfolio assessment to direct capital and operating resources
  • Advance pricing optimization, product-cost reduction and leadership succession

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
COHR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.42 Q3 '24 actual $0.53, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.60 Q4 '24 actual $0.61, match Q1 '25 estimate $0.61 Q1 '25 actual $0.74, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.04 Q1 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.21 Q2 '26 actual $1.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.40 Q3 '26 actual $1.41, match Q4 '26 estimate $1.62 Q4 '26 actual $1.74, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.98 Q2 '27 estimate $1.97 Q3 '27 estimate $2.14
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2477.4%
Neutral722.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$232.9Current
$52Low
$217.6Average
$455High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $232.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$350$292.21 +50.3%Sep 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$400$277.83 +71.7%Aug 31, 2026
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$420$337.34 +80.3%Aug 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$448$348.88 +92.4%Aug 13, 2026
NeedhamRyan Koontz$420$355.64 +80.3%Aug 13, 2026
See 55 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Coherent, Inc. specializes in advanced laser technologies, offering a comprehensive suite of products that includes lasers, laser-based solutions, and complete systems. These are deployed across a spectrum of uses, from commercial and industrial operations to critical scientific research. The company's operations are distinctly segmented into two primary areas: laser sources for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and industrial lasers alongside integrated systems. Coherent handles the entire lifecycle of its offerings, from conceptual design and manufacturing to global marketing and ongoing service.…

Historical context

All COHR earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T02:00:40.664879+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T02:00:40.662207+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.