CME Group Inc. · CME · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024
CME posts record Q3 volume as international and crypto trading accelerate
The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: record volume, international expansion, crypto-futures adoption and client acquisition are reinforcing growth. That support is balanced by competition, regulatory uncertainty, possible RPC pressure and higher licensing costs.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the latest analysis shifts from a broad record-results and cloud-investment story to stronger evidence of international, crypto and client-acquisition momentum. It also identifies a stable capex outlook and continued attention to FMX competition, licensing costs and overseas Treasury-clearing regulation.
Guidance delta
Management maintained guidance; the analysis also notes a lower effective tax-rate range of 22.5%–23% for the year.
Key takeaways
- Record average daily volume and revenue reflected broad-based operating leverage.
- International growth was prominent, with EMEA and APAC average daily volume up 30% and 28%, respectively.
- Crypto futures and micro contracts expanded rapidly, while margin-saving programs supported client value.
- New client acquisition increased across retail and institutional segments.
Management priorities
- Continue product innovation in crypto and energy offerings.
- Expand margin-efficiency programs and international client acquisition.
- Invest in cloud migration and technology upgrades.
- Maintain openness to strategic M&A while monitoring capital returns.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 19, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Rothschild & Co | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Erste Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 9, 2023 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 10, 2022 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 29, 2020 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 19, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 11, 2019 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 17, 2017 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jul 29, 2016 |
| CLSA | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jul 14, 2016 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 8, 2015 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 21, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 14, 2013 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | May 21, 2013 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Oct 26, 2012 |
| BGB Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 26, 2012 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 8, 2012 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 8, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $293.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Welden | $315 | $278.03 | +7.3% | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $337 | $276.44 | +14.8% | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $281 | $270.18 | -4.3% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Alex Kramm | $270 | $263.14 | -8.0% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Welden | $301 | $265.1 | +2.5% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $270 | $271.54 | -8.0% | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $330 | $252.8 | +12.4% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $295 | $243.61 | +0.5% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $324 | $237.46 | +10.4% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Alex Kramm | $260 | $236.6 | -11.4% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Patrick Moley | $320 | $248.12 | +9.0% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Patrick Moley | $329 | $267.85 | +12.1% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Redburn Partners | Analyst unavailable | $323 | $263.8 | +10.0% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $353 | $282.44 | +20.3% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $316 | $285.71 | +7.7% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $362 | $294.82 | +23.3% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $310 | $297.38 | +5.6% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $302 | $300.42 | +2.9% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $340 | $294.62 | +15.8% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $312 | $294.62 | +6.3% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $319 | $273.41 | +8.7% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $320 | $269.09 | +9.0% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $304 | $272.42 | +3.6% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Michael Cyprys | $314 | $269.5 | +7.0% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| UBS | Alex Kramm | $280 | $267.81 | -4.6% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $269.59 | +2.2% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Patrick O'Shaughnessy | $307 | $271.45 | +4.6% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $263.6 | -4.6% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $312 | $264.46 | +6.3% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Alex Kramm | $285 | $261.78 | -2.9% | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $298 | $277.18 | +1.5% | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Patrick O'Shaughnessy | $287 | $254.57 | -2.2% | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Owen Lau | $258 | $227.43 | -12.1% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $231 | $227.14 | -21.3% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Christopher Allen | $250 | $223.57 | -14.8% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $235 | $218.47 | -19.9% | Sep 26, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Craig Siegenthaler | $177 | $215.74 | -39.7% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $193 | $198.92 | -34.2% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Patrick Moley | $225 | $199.38 | -23.3% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $209 | $197.25 | -28.8% | Jul 25, 2024 |
| UBS | Alex Kromm | $250 | $203.78 | -14.8% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Andrew Bond | $187 | $212.59 | -36.3% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Budish | $228 | $212.59 | -22.3% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Brian Bedell | $210 | $212.21 | -28.5% | Apr 5, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $198 | $174.76 | -32.5% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $196 | $176.93 | -33.2% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $171.12 | -14.8% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $194.69 | -28.5% | Sep 6, 2022 |
| Rosenblatt Securities | Analyst unavailable | $171 | $205.46 | -41.7% | Aug 17, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $212 | $202.14 | -27.8% | Aug 12, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $216 | $198.24 | -26.4% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $195.34 | -18.2% | Aug 2, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $226 | $198.5 | -23.0% | Jul 28, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $218 | $195.99 | -25.7% | Jul 28, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $242 | $201.51 | -17.6% | Jul 19, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $213 | $203.55 | -27.4% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $233 | $204.36 | -20.6% | Jul 6, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $246 | $204.36 | -16.2% | Jul 6, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $235 | $204.36 | -19.9% | Jul 6, 2022 |
| Atlantic Equities | Simon Clinch | $235 | $200.43 | -19.9% | Jun 10, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $258 | $204.68 | -12.1% | Jun 3, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $210 | $190.15 | -28.5% | May 19, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Stephen Biggar | $230 | $200.1 | -21.6% | May 16, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $223 | -4.6% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $259 | $223.03 | -11.8% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $254 | $225.93 | -13.5% | Apr 28, 2022 |
| UBS | Alex Kromm | $269 | $237.46 | -8.4% | Apr 5, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Daniel Fannon | $258 | $221.8 | -12.1% | Jan 10, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Eoin Mullany | $190 | $215.65 | -35.3% | Nov 2, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Richard Repetto | $230 | $192.18 | -21.6% | Oct 1, 2021 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Kenneth Hill | $151 | $197.42 | -48.6% | Apr 29, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Alexander Blostein | $208 | $194.79 | -29.1% | Apr 28, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCME Group Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages international marketplaces for the exchange of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. Its extensive array of product offerings includes futures and options linked to a broad spectrum of underlying assets, such as interest rates, equity indices, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, alongside fixed-income products.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T04:40:42.414030+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T04:40:42.411253+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.