Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce · CM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

CIBC Q3: Broad growth, resilient credit and expanded AI rollout

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view of CIBC's operating trajectory: broad business momentum, resilient credit and AI-led productivity provide support, while credit, margin, pricing and macro risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $106.44B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.96 Consensus $1.80
EPS surprise +8.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.97B Consensus $5.74B
Revenue surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.0% Up to 20 sessions
CMSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes the launch of CIBC AI 2.0 and AdvisorAssist, the Taskrabbit collaboration, a minority stake in &Partners, share repurchases and an upcoming Investor Day. Management also continued to highlight resilient credit and confidence in net interest margins.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management expressed confidence in the net interest margin outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management described double-digit Q3 EPS and revenue growth across a broad set of businesses.
  • Credit portfolios remained resilient despite trade and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • CIBC highlighted AI 2.0, AdvisorAssist, digital banking and wealth expansion as strategic priorities.

Management priorities

  • Detail strategy and growth initiatives at Investor Day on December 9
  • Roll out CIBC AI 2.0 and AdvisorAssist across the organization
  • Scale the Taskrabbit collaboration and other digital banking offers
  • Invest in people and technology for long-term franchise growth

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $12B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $11B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $7B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $8B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '27 estimate $9B Q2 '27 estimate $8B Q3 '27 estimate $9B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish426.7%
Neutral960.0%
Bearish213.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$114.87Current
$70Low
$106.62Average
$127.32High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 1, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 30, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeDec 18, 2023
National Bank Financial Inc Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 1, 2023
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 1, 2023
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $114.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$70$41.9 -39.1%Jan 6, 2023
DesjardinsDouglas Young$122.55$111.95 +6.7%Aug 30, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$127.32$105.92 +10.8%May 19, 2021

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) operates as a broad-based financial services provider, extending a wide array of financial offerings and solutions. Its diverse clientele includes individuals, corporations, government entities, and large institutional clients across Canada, the United States, and globally. The bank's operations are structured into four key divisions: Canadian Personal and Business Banking; Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management; U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management; and Capital Markets.…

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T17:16:00.532127+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T05:00:50.267437+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T05:00:50.264347+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.