The Clorox Company · CLX · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025

Clorox: ERP Noise Weighs on Near-Term Sales as Margin Plan Holds

The supplied analysis supports a conditional recovery case: Clorox’s brand strength, innovation pipeline, pricing discipline, and ERP-enabled productivity could support longer-term improvement, but near-term evidence is mixed because organic sales declined and execution, tariffs, and promotion remain material risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Defensive $9.72B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.87 Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise +30.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.99B Consensus $1.93B
Revenue surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move -1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
CLXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the focus shifted from a planned ERP-driven sales benefit and tariff mitigation to the reversal of ERP-related inventory effects, weaker organic sales, and a back-half FY26 recovery plan centered on innovation, net-revenue management, and productivity.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance; the key change is a weaker near-term organic-sales profile as ERP-related inventory effects reverse, while the longer-term margin and productivity objectives remain in place.

Key takeaways

  • Organic sales fell about 5% year over year after removing a 13%–14% ERP-related inventory build, undershooting internal expectations.
  • Management identified back-half FY26 innovation and net-revenue-management initiatives as the main growth levers.
  • Tariffs, promotional competition, consumer pressure, and ERP execution remain the main offsets to the margin and productivity plan.

Management priorities

  • Complete the U.S. ERP ramp-up and use it to improve inventory and trade-spend optimization.
  • Launch new innovation platforms in the second half of FY26 and pursue pricing and net-revenue-management initiatives.
  • Continue margin transformation, digital investment, and efforts toward an 18% EBIT margin target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CLX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1.36 Q3 '24 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.56 Q4 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.36 Q1 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.20 Q4 '25 actual $2.87, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.82 Q1 '26 actual $0.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.43 Q2 '26 actual $1.39, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.55 Q3 '26 actual $1.64, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.64 Q4 '26 actual $1.66, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.09 Q2 '27 estimate $1.41 Q3 '27 estimate $1.61
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish310.3%
Neutral2069.0%
Bearish620.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.41Current
$83Low
$121.96Average
$185High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Underperform UnderperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $80.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$98$101.27 +21.9%Aug 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$105$100.55 +30.6%Aug 4, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$99$100.72 +23.1%Aug 4, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$84$98.26 +4.5%Aug 4, 2026
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$98$97.41 +21.9%Jul 28, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Clorox Company is a global manufacturer and marketer of both consumer and professional products, operating through four distinct segments: Health and Wellness, Household, Lifestyle, and International. The Health and Wellness division offers a range of cleaning solutions, including laundry additives and home care items under brand names such as Clorox, Clorox2, Scentiva, Pine-Sol, Liquid-Plumr, Tilex, and Formula 409. It also supplies professional cleaning and disinfecting products via the CloroxPro and Clorox Healthcare brands, alongside professional food service goods from Hidden Valley. Additionally, this segment provides vitamins, minerals, and supplements (VMS) within the United States, marketed under the RenewLife, Natural Vitality, NeoCell, and Rainbow Light labels. Dedicated to the U.S. market, the Household segment features cat litter products from Fresh Step and Scoop Away, food storage bags and wraps under the Glad brand, and grilling essentials like Kingsford charcoal.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T09:00:40.447556+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T09:00:40.443725+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.