Cigna Corporation · CI · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Cigna raises 2025 outlook despite stop-loss cost pressure
Cigna’s updated outlook is supported by Evernorth specialty growth, biosimilar adoption, and shareholder-return capacity, but the thesis depends on recovering stop-loss margins and executing the Medicare divestiture.
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What changed
Management raised the 2025 outlook, highlighted roughly 50% eligible Humira-script uptake and the Stelara biosimilar launch, increased repurchase authorization, and described new customer investments. The main offset was higher stop-loss medical costs in Q4.
Guidance delta
Management raised its outlook to at least $252 billion of adjusted revenue and $29.50 of adjusted EPS for 2025.
Key takeaways
- Full-year revenue rose 27% to $247 billion, while Q4 earnings missed expectations because of higher stop-loss costs.
- Evernorth specialty biosimilars reached about 50% uptake among eligible Humira prescriptions, and Cigna introduced a Stelara biosimilar.
- Cigna returned $8.6 billion to shareholders, raised its dividend 8% to $1.51, and increased share-repurchase authorization to $10.3 billion.
- Management outlined $150 million of new investments and expects the Medicare business sale to close in Q1 2025, subject to approvals.
Management priorities
- Expand Humira and Stelara biosimilar adoption and related patient support.
- Advance Express Scripts initiatives focused on pharmacy-counter affordability and cost transparency.
- Complete the Medicare divestiture, invest in patient- and provider-facing initiatives, and use proceeds primarily for additional repurchases.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 20, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 20, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 17, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 9, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Stephens& Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Edward Jones | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 18, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 4, 2023 |
| SVB Leerink | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 7, 2022 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 17, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | May 9, 2022 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 17, 2021 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 8, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 5, 2021 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Susquehanna | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Monness Crespi Hardt | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Leerink Swann | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 5, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $285.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $387 | $268.88 | +35.8% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Jessica Tassan | $370 | $267.96 | +29.8% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Jefferies | David Windley | $307 | $282.06 | +7.7% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $320 | $279.05 | +12.3% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $362 | $287.66 | +27.0% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $361 | $287.66 | +26.7% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $307 | $287.66 | +7.7% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $381 | $289.73 | +33.7% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Justin Lake | $315 | $293.83 | +10.5% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ann Hynes | $340 | $289.48 | +19.3% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $304 | $286.24 | +6.7% | May 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $282.02 | +40.3% | May 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $361 | $291.28 | +26.7% | May 20, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $302 | $291.28 | +6.0% | May 20, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $371 | $279.35 | +30.2% | May 5, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Sarah James | $340 | $285.11 | +19.3% | May 1, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $337 | $285.6 | +18.2% | May 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $330 | $285.54 | +15.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $310 | $290.58 | +8.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $330 | $278.64 | +15.8% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $292.76 | +22.8% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $304 | $291.17 | +6.7% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $338 | $294.2 | +18.6% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $292.84 | +31.6% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $303 | $284.53 | +6.3% | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $325 | $283.91 | +14.0% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $307 | $287.1 | +7.7% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $320 | $279.12 | +12.3% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $305 | $279.12 | +7.0% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Cowen & Co. | Charles Rhyee | $333 | $274.87 | +16.8% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $318 | $273.57 | +11.6% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $294 | $271.57 | +3.2% | Nov 12, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $294 | $268 | +3.2% | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $264.66 | +5.3% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Scott Fidel | $330 | $258.62 | +15.8% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Jefferies | David Windley | $310 | $244.41 | +8.8% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erin Wright | $355 | $243 | +24.6% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $245.1 | +5.3% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Scott Fidel | $370 | $295.41 | +29.8% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $354 | $302.99 | +24.2% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $375 | $300.72 | +31.6% | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Ha | $372 | $286 | +30.5% | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | George Hill | $415 | $270.74 | +45.6% | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Jason Cassorla | $388 | $333.82 | +36.1% | May 6, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erin Wright | $390 | $333.01 | +36.8% | May 5, 2025 |
| Barclays | Andrew Mok | $382 | $333.01 | +34.0% | May 5, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Stephen Baxter | $341 | $291.46 | +19.6% | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Jessica Tassan | $348 | $292.46 | +22.1% | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Raymond James | John Ransom | $360 | $294.21 | +26.3% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erin Wright | $379 | $294.21 | +33.0% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Ben Hendrix | $355 | $294.21 | +24.6% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Jessica Tassan | $400 | $338.8 | +40.3% | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Michael Ha | $388 | $332.92 | +36.1% | May 29, 2024 |
| Jefferies | David Windley | $407 | $341.5 | +42.8% | May 6, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Michael Wiederhorn | $400 | $344.5 | +40.3% | May 3, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Sarah James | $400 | $344.5 | +40.3% | May 3, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ben Hendrix | $384 | $344.5 | +34.7% | May 3, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ben Hendrix | $354 | $324.06 | +24.2% | Feb 5, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | George Hill | $370 | $307.32 | +29.8% | Feb 1, 2024 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $335 | $289 | +17.5% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $288.44 | +22.8% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $370 | $289.12 | +29.8% | Feb 6, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $365 | $301.95 | +28.1% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $347 | $320.9 | +21.7% | Nov 23, 2022 |
| Raymond James | John Ransom | $370 | $322.13 | +29.8% | Nov 6, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $330 | $272.63 | +15.8% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| Jefferies | David Windley | $271 | $273.75 | -4.9% | Jul 14, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ricky Goldwasser | $296 | $257.6 | +3.9% | Jun 22, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | George Hill | $284 | $244.52 | -0.4% | Jun 18, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ann Hynes | $291 | $263.98 | +2.1% | May 9, 2022 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $290 | $265.6 | +1.7% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Truist Financial | David MacDonald | $290 | $254.12 | +1.7% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ann Hynes | $266 | $240.51 | -6.7% | Mar 2, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Steve Baxter | $278 | $226.47 | -2.5% | Jan 6, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Lisa Gill | $248 | $219.2 | -13.0% | Dec 21, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Nathan Rich | $233 | $215.6 | -18.2% | Dec 14, 2021 |
| UBS | Kevin Caliendo | $244 | $216.63 | -14.4% | Nov 18, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | A.J. Rice | $300 | $216.05 | +5.3% | Nov 8, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI | Michael Newshel | $230 | $211.09 | -19.3% | Nov 4, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Kevin Fischbeck | $225 | $202.71 | -21.1% | Sep 10, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Gary Taylor | $235 | $211.88 | -17.5% | Sep 9, 2021 |
| Raymond James | John Ransom | $275 | $208.14 | -3.5% | Aug 9, 2021 |
| Stephens | Scott Fidel | $270 | $206.32 | -5.3% | Aug 6, 2021 |
| Barclays | Steven Valiquette | $275 | $206.32 | -3.5% | Aug 6, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Michael Wiederhorn | $285 | $206.32 | -0.0% | Aug 6, 2021 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Steven Halper | $250 | $203.27 | -12.3% | Aug 5, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Justin Lake | $294 | $244.85 | +3.2% | Apr 26, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCigna Group, established in 1792 and headquartered in Bloomfield, Connecticut, provides insurance products and related services across the United States. The company operates through two primary segments. Its Evernorth division offers a comprehensive array of coordinated and specialized health solutions, including pharmacy services, benefits administration, care management and delivery, and advanced intelligence solutions. These offerings cater to a diverse clientele, such as health plans, employers, government entities, and healthcare providers.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-16T01:47:00.477391+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T13:50:44.613165+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T13:50:44.610495+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.