Citizens Financial Group, Inc. · CFG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

CFG: NIM Expansion and Private Bank Growth Highlight Q1

The analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: NIM improvement, Private Bank expansion, non-core loan runoff, and expense discipline provide support, while loan-growth sustainability, credit quality, and capital-markets sensitivity remain important checks.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $27.40B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.75
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.94B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move -2.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.7% Up to 20 sessions
CFGSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management accelerated non-core student-loan runoff, reported record Private Bank deposit growth, and highlighted an all-time-high M&A pipeline. The analysis continued to describe guidance as maintained and emphasized ongoing investment in AI, data analytics, payments, and cost transformation.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance; the analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • NIM rose 3 basis points to 2.90% and management expected continued improvement.
  • Private Bank added $1.7 billion of deposits, reaching $8.7 billion in Q1.
  • Management accelerated the sale of $1.9 billion of non-core student loans to reduce funding costs and support buybacks.
  • The analysis cites a strong balance sheet, including CET1 of about 10.6%, and a record M&A pipeline.

Management priorities

  • Expand Private Bank offices in Florida, Southern California, and New Jersey.
  • Invest in AI, data analytics, and payments capabilities.
  • Continue the TOP 10 cost-transformation program while monitoring expense growth.
  • Maintain the share-repurchase program, with potential for higher buybacks if loan growth eases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CFG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.71 Q4 '23 actual $0.34, miss Q1 '24 estimate $0.74 Q1 '24 actual $0.65, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.79 Q2 '24 actual $0.78, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.88 Q2 '25 actual $0.92, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.03 Q3 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.10 Q4 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.09 Q1 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.24 Q2 '26 actual $1.30, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.39 Q4 '26 estimate $1.48 Q1 '27 estimate $1.43 Q2 '27 estimate $1.59

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy38 ratings
Bullish3079.0%
Neutral718.4%
Bearish12.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$64.8Previous close
$33Low
$63.14Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 23, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 33 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $64.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$89$64.93 +37.3%Sep 28, 2026
Truist FinancialBrian Foran$77$65.49 +18.8%Sep 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyRyan Kenny$90$70.78 +38.9%Sep 8, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldDave Rochester$84$73.46 +29.6%Aug 19, 2026
Argus ResearchKevin Heal$80$72.57 +23.5%Jul 29, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) functions as the holding company for Citizens Bank, National Association, a major financial institution offering a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking solutions across the United States. It serves a broad spectrum of clients, from individual consumers and small enterprises to large corporations and various institutions. Its business is segmented into two primary divisions: Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. The Consumer Banking division delivers a robust array of products, encompassing deposit accounts, mortgage and home equity lending, credit cards, and business loans for smaller entities. It also provides wealth management, investment services, and specialized financing for areas like auto, education, and point-of-sale purchases, alongside digital deposit solutions. Clients engage with this segment through contact centers and its advanced online and mobile banking platforms.…

Historical context

All CFG earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-02T00:05:04.828054+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T09:01:05.443052+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T09:01:05.440694+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.