Cameco Corporation · CCJ · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Cameco pairs nuclear-growth opportunity with mine execution risks

Cameco's transcript supports a constructive long-term nuclear-demand case, but the near-term outlook remains dependent on mine execution, project financing, contracting and regulatory timelines.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $33.50B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.05 Consensus $0.14
EPS surprise -64.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $440.6M Consensus $389.4M
Revenue surprise +13.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.2% Up to 20 sessions
CCJSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted a new U.S. government, Brookfield and Westinghouse partnership targeting at least $80 billion for AP1000 deployment. GLE enrichment technology reached TRL-6, while the 2025 McArthur River and Key Lake production outlook was revised lower.

Guidance delta

Overall guidance sentiment was maintained, although the production outlook for McArthur River and Key Lake was lowered; management indicated JV Inkai and Cigar Lake could provide flexibility for contracted volumes.

Key takeaways

  • Nuclear demand is being linked to energy security, decarbonization and power needs from AI and data centers.
  • Westinghouse and fuel-cycle services broaden Cameco's exposure beyond uranium mining.
  • A strong balance sheet and supply flexibility are intended to support contracted volumes.
  • The main tension is long-term demand potential versus mine, project and contracting execution.

Management priorities

  • Advance Westinghouse AP1000 deployment and related fuel-cycle services.
  • Use long-term contracts and supply flexibility to manage customer commitments.
  • Evaluate conversion-capacity and enrichment opportunities as commercial conditions develop.
  • Maintain balance-sheet flexibility while supporting dividend growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CCJ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $447M Q4 '23 actual $635M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $426M Q1 '24 actual $467M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $548M Q2 '24 actual $438M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $428M Q2 '25 actual $644M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $389M Q3 '25 actual $441M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $806M Q4 '25 actual $875M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $599M Q1 '26 actual $607M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $580M Q2 '26 actual $573M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $532M Q3 '26 actual $435M, miss Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $979M Q2 '27 estimate $948M Q3 '27 estimate $855M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1365.0%
Neutral525.0%
Bearish210.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$76.91Current
$30.24Low
$109.15Average
$175High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 29, 2026
GLJ Research Buy BuyMaintainFeb 18, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $76.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialChristopher Souther$125$82.02 +62.5%Oct 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$95$81.52 +23.5%Oct 19, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$138$96.38 +79.4%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$130$99.31 +69.0%Aug 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$97$89.72 +26.1%Aug 4, 2026
See 16 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cameco Corporation is a prominent global enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of uranium. Its operations are structured into two core divisions: Uranium and Fuel Services. The Uranium division manages the full upstream process, encompassing the exploration, extraction, and initial processing (milling) of uranium ore, as well as the procurement and sale of uranium concentrate. Conversely, the Fuel Services division focuses on the downstream transformation of uranium. This includes the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate into usable forms, alongside providing related conversion services. Furthermore, this segment is responsible for manufacturing specialized fuel bundles and reactor components specifically designed for CANDU reactors. Cameco provides its essential uranium products and associated fuel services to nuclear utility clients across major international markets, including the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company was founded in 1987 and maintains its principal office in Saskatoon, Canada.

Historical context

All CCJ earnings

Energy peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T17:20:44.435643+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T17:20:44.433017+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.