Cerebras Systems Inc. · CBRS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Cerebras raises FY2026 outlook as Q2 revenue grows 103%

Cerebras' Q2 results strengthen the case that demand for fast AI inference can support substantial growth, but the thesis depends on capacity expansion, partner commercialization and customer concentration risks being managed.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $47.13B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.04 Consensus $-0.17
EPS surprise +76.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $209.9M Consensus $190.6M
Revenue surprise +10.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -11.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -12.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -16.9% Up to 20 sessions
CBRSSPY benchmark

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What changed

Cerebras reported record Q2 FY2026 core revenue of $209.9 million, raised FY2026 guidance, and described a more than $25 billion signed-contract pipeline. Compared with the prior quarter, management placed greater emphasis on scaling manufacturing and data-center capacity and on disaggregated inference with AMD and AWS.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $880-$890 million and improved its margin outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 core revenue reached $209.9 million, up 103% year over year, while cloud revenue rose 287%.
  • Management cited more than $25 billion of signed-contract pipeline and plans to expand manufacturing and data-center capacity.
  • The disaggregated-inference strategy with AMD and AWS is intended to improve throughput and broaden Cerebras' addressable use cases.
  • The growth plan remains dependent on executing capacity expansion and converting large customer and partner commitments.

Management priorities

  • Expand worldwide data-center capacity, including more than 600 megawatts secured for delivery by the end of 2027.
  • Increase manufacturing capacity by more than 10 times in 2026 and again in 2027.
  • Launch CS4 and advance the CS5 roadmap.
  • Deploy disaggregated inference with AMD Helios and AWS Trainium, followed by Cerebras inference on AWS Bedrock.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CBRS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 2 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '26 estimate $181M Q1 '26 actual $191M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $191M Q2 '26 actual $210M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $215M Q4 '26 estimate $274M Q1 '27 estimate $403M Q2 '27 estimate $568M

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy8 ratings
Bullish787.5%
Neutral112.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$205.47Current
$250Low
$294.89Average
$330High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Freedom Capital Markets Hold HoldMaintainSep 14, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Show 3 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $205.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$279$262.06 +35.8%Aug 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$330$262.06 +60.6%Aug 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$310$186.75 +50.9%Jul 27, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$280$196.3 +36.3%Jun 24, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesKevin Cassidy$300$226.72 +46.0%Jun 24, 2026
See 9 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cerebras Systems Inc. is a leading innovator in artificial intelligence infrastructure. The company develops and manufactures an advanced AI compute platform, integrating proprietary hardware systems and software. This platform is delivered in rack-mountable units, suitable for deployment in data centers, scaling all the way up to supercomputer-level capabilities. At its core is the groundbreaking Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE), a unique chip that encompasses an entire silicon wafer.…

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T14:19:33.246439+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-17T01:23:13.296768+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T16:20:48.534275+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T16:20:48.531956+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.