CBRE Group, Inc. · CBRE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

CBRE Maintains Guidance as Leasing and Services Stay Resilient

The current analysis supports a measured case for CBRE's operating resilience: leasing, facilities-related services, project management, and capital returns were highlighted positively, while maintained guidance provides continuity. The evidence is not one-sided because tariffs, rates, recession risk, and integration execution remain material swing factors.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $36.93B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.82
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $8.87B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.0% Up to 20 sessions
CBRESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the focus shifted from a raised outlook and acquisition-led reshaping toward maintained guidance amid tariff uncertainty. The current analysis adds early evidence on Turner & Townsend integration, continued leasing and services momentum, and a more explicit emphasis on macro sensitivity.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the analysis says 2025 core EPS guidance was unchanged despite macro uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes Q1 core EBITDA growth of 27% and core EPS growth of 10% year over year.
  • Resilient and transactional businesses both posted double-digit revenue growth, with leasing and project management contributing.
  • Management emphasized cash-flow conversion, share repurchases, targeted M&A, and integration work.
  • Tariff uncertainty and interest-rate sensitivity temper an otherwise confident operating outlook.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Turner & Townsend and pursue margin synergies.
  • Expand facilities management, property management, and data-center services.
  • Balance targeted M&A and growth investment with continued share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CBRE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8B Q4 '23 actual $9B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $8B Q1 '24 actual $8B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9B Q2 '25 actual $10B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $10B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $12B Q4 '25 actual $12B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '26 actual $11B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $11B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12B Q4 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1365.0%
Neutral630.0%
Bearish15.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$131.08Current
$107Low
$150.7Average
$185High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2025
Show 15 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $131.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$183$152.83 +39.6%Aug 17, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$175$147.52 +33.5%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$143.88 +37.3%Jul 28, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$169$136.05 +28.9%Jun 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$178$140.05 +35.8%May 5, 2026
See 18 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through Advisory Services, Building Operations and Experience, Project Management, and Real Estate Investments segments. The Advisory Services segment offers strategic advice and execution to owners, investors, and occupiers of real estate in connection with leasing of offices, and industrial and retail space; clients fully integrated property sales services under the CBRE Capital Markets brand; clients commercial mortgage and structured financing services; originates and sells commercial mortgage loans; property management services, such as marketing, building engineering, lease administration, accounting, investment reporting services, financial services on a contractual basis for owners of and investors in office, industrial, and retail properties; and valuation services…

Historical context

All CBRE earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T03:00:43.613619+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T03:00:43.610983+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.