CBRE Group, Inc. · CBRE · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

CBRE pairs record Q4 performance with a growth-focused 2025 outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient leasing, data-center demand, development activity, and strategic acquisitions underpin management's growth case, while rates, integration, and leasing-cycle risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $37.55B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.20
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $10.24B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.3% Up to 20 sessions
CBRESPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about CBRE FY2024 Q4

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported record Q4 core earnings and free cash flow, reorganized the business around four segments, highlighted acquisitions including Industrious and Turner & Townsend, and provided a 2025 core EPS outlook of $5.80-$6.10. The analysis also identifies a larger data-center contribution and more than 50 planned development projects as notable developments.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was raised; the supplied analysis cites 2025 core EPS guidance of $5.80-$6.10 and describes it as more than 16% growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q4 core earnings and free cash flow above $1.5 billion.
  • U.S. office leasing grew 28% year over year, while data-center demand and development activity remained key drivers.
  • The company highlighted Industrious and Turner & Townsend as strategic additions and cited 2025 core EPS guidance of $5.80-$6.10.
  • Capital allocation includes continued share repurchases alongside selective M&A.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Industrious and the Turner & Townsend combination.
  • Expand data-center, industrial, and technology-facility services.
  • Advance more than 50 development projects in 2025.
  • Raise capital for investment-management funds and pursue selective M&A while maintaining repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CBRE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.69 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.71 Q2 '24 actual $0.81, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.06 Q3 '24 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.07 Q2 '25 actual $1.19, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.46 Q3 '25 actual $1.61, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.68 Q4 '25 actual $2.73, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.13 Q1 '26 actual $1.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.47 Q2 '26 actual $1.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.95 Q4 '26 estimate $2.79 Q1 '27 estimate $1.50
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1365.0%
Neutral630.0%
Bearish15.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$129.67Previous close
$107Low
$150.7Average
$185High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2025
Show 15 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $129.67. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$183$152.83 +41.1%Aug 17, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$175$147.52 +35.0%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$143.88 +38.8%Jul 28, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$169$136.05 +30.3%Jun 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$178$140.05 +37.3%May 5, 2026
See 18 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through Advisory Services, Building Operations and Experience, Project Management, and Real Estate Investments segments. The Advisory Services segment offers strategic advice and execution to owners, investors, and occupiers of real estate in connection with leasing of offices, and industrial and retail space; clients fully integrated property sales services under the CBRE Capital Markets brand; clients commercial mortgage and structured financing services; originates and sells commercial mortgage loans; property management services, such as marketing, building engineering, lease administration, accounting, investment reporting services, financial services on a contractual basis for owners of and investors in office, industrial, and retail properties; and valuation services…

Historical context

All CBRE earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-30T00:03:07.291072+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T11:30:42.548314+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T11:30:42.545460+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.