Cboe Global Markets, Inc. · CBOE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Cboe raises organic revenue outlook on record Q1

The current analysis supports the view that earnings growth and resilient demand can underpin Cboe's business trajectory: record Q1 performance, strong derivatives activity, DataVantage growth, and raised organic revenue guidance are positive evidence. The case remains conditional on sustained volatility and retail participation, successful crypto and Asia-Pacific expansion, disciplined spending, and execution through the CEO transition.

Reported Before market openCBOEFinancial Services $28.39B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.29
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $559.9M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.3% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
CBOESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows a stronger operating update: guidance is now raised rather than maintained, crypto products have launched, DataVantage ACV growth is highlighted, and the final equities exchange migration to Titania is complete. The CEO transition to Craig Donahue is a new strategic and execution consideration.

Guidance delta

Management's full-year organic net revenue outlook moved from maintained in the prior analysis to raised, at a mid-to-high single-digit growth range in the current analysis; CapEx remained unchanged at $75-$85 million.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes a record Q1, led by derivatives volumes, particularly SPX zero-day and VIX products.
  • DataVantage organic growth and higher Asia-Pacific ACV point to added momentum beyond transaction volumes.
  • Crypto-product launches, retail education, and the Titania technology migration broaden the growth agenda, while the CEO transition adds an execution item to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Expand Asia-Pacific sales and marketing.
  • Develop crypto products, including Bitcoin index options and futures.
  • Continue Titania platform migration, technology investment, retail education, and product innovation.
  • Pursue strategic inorganic opportunities when financially sensible.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CBOE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.04 Q1 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.10 Q2 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.19 Q3 '24 actual $2.22, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.42 Q2 '25 actual $2.46, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.53 Q3 '25 actual $2.67, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.94 Q4 '25 actual $3.06, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.34 Q1 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.48 Q2 '26 actual $3.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.39 Q4 '26 estimate $3.37 Q1 '27 estimate $3.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1445.2%
Neutral1341.9%
Bearish412.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$271.26Current
$97Low
$244.86Average
$356High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeOct 2, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 3, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 4, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainApr 10, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 3, 2025
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 10, 2025
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJan 9, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeNov 11, 2024
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainNov 4, 2024
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainMay 6, 2024
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeNov 16, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 5, 2023
Compass Point Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 7, 2021
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2020
CFRA Strong Buy BuyUpgradeFeb 28, 2020
Bank of America Underperform BuyDowngradeSep 13, 2019
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJun 11, 2019
MKM Partners Overweight NeutralUpgradeFeb 25, 2019
Evercore ISI Group Buy HoldUpgradeOct 10, 2016
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 27, 2016
Buckingham Research Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 27, 2016
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeFeb 8, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2015
Stifel Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2015
S&P Capital IQ Strong Buy HoldUpgradeJan 28, 2014
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 29, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $271.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$300$277.19 +10.6%Oct 2, 2026
Goldman SachsAlexander Blostein$300$277.19 +10.6%Oct 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$301$277.19 +11.0%Oct 1, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsEli Abboud$356$289.08 +31.2%Aug 5, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$315$299.28 +16.1%Aug 3, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$354$310.23 +30.5%Aug 3, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$380$310.23 +40.1%Aug 3, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$288$288.87 +6.2%Jul 28, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$304$274.04 +12.1%Jul 20, 2026
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$320$274.98 +18.0%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$258$267.92 -4.9%Jul 10, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$347$263.86 +27.9%Jul 9, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$263$250.96 -3.0%Jun 22, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$316$301.08 +16.5%Jun 11, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$340$339.36 +25.3%May 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$335$338.76 +23.5%May 4, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$395$335.05 +45.6%May 4, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$365$337.25 +34.6%May 4, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$335$326.96 +23.5%May 4, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$382$326.96 +40.8%May 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$321$300.75 +18.3%Apr 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$273$294.04 +0.6%Apr 10, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$293$294.82 +8.0%Apr 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAshish Sabadra$303$275.82 +11.7%Feb 9, 2026
UBSAlex Kramm$290$275.36 +6.9%Feb 9, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$317$273.09 +16.9%Feb 9, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$281$262.18 +3.6%Jan 14, 2026
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$295$266.77 +8.8%Jan 14, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$295$255.16 +8.8%Jan 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$255.26 +3.2%Jan 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$240$248.05 -11.5%Dec 22, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$302$251.33 +11.3%Dec 12, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$310$249.82 +14.3%Dec 10, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$269$246.1 -0.8%Nov 3, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$265$246.1 -2.3%Nov 3, 2025
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$290$246.1 +6.9%Nov 3, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$273$246.1 +0.6%Nov 3, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$287$246.1 +5.8%Nov 3, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$270$243.49 -0.5%Oct 14, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$264$240.9 -2.7%Oct 8, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsCraig Siegenthaler$261$241.76 -3.8%Oct 2, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$221$241.96 -18.5%Oct 1, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$254$250.87 -6.4%Aug 4, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$250.87 -6.0%Aug 4, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$265$250.87 -2.3%Aug 4, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$265$250.87 -2.3%Aug 4, 2025
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$218$233.95 -19.6%Jul 15, 2025
UBSAlex Kramm$245$231.67 -9.7%May 5, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsKyle Voigt$227$231.67 -16.3%May 5, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsCraig Siegenthaler$260$224.48 -4.2%Apr 2, 2025
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$220$203.99 -18.9%Dec 9, 2024
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$222$213.23 -18.2%Nov 11, 2024
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$212$209.6 -21.8%Nov 4, 2024
TD SecuritiesBill Katz$205$203.1 -24.4%Sep 25, 2024
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$188$196.27 -30.7%Aug 6, 2024
Piper SandlerRichard Repetto$210$194.06 -22.6%Aug 5, 2024
OppenheimerOwen Lau$209$193.94 -23.0%Aug 5, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$218$193.78 -19.6%Aug 5, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsKenneth Worthington$195$193.78 -28.1%Aug 5, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsCraig Siegenthaler$230$193.78 -15.2%Aug 4, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsKenneth Worthington$166$170.22 -38.8%Jul 12, 2024
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$215$170.92 -20.7%Jul 5, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesAndrew Bond$205$179.67 -24.4%May 6, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsBenjamin Budish$215$179.67 -20.7%May 6, 2024
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$199$182.37 -26.6%Apr 9, 2024
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$178$181.57 -34.4%Apr 5, 2024
BarclaysBenjamin Budish$204$176.4 -24.8%Jan 8, 2024
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$174$156.2 -35.9%Sep 29, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$125$123.56 -53.9%Jan 9, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$141$122.84 -48.0%Nov 15, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsAlexander Blostein$126$117.73 -53.6%Sep 30, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$145$123.38 -46.5%Aug 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$140$118.18 -48.4%Jul 19, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$136$118.11 -49.9%Jul 13, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$146$120.12 -46.2%Jul 13, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$131$105.59 -51.7%May 19, 2022
UBSAlex Kramm$124$115.86 -54.3%Jul 7, 2021
BarclaysJeremy Campbell$97$102.77 -64.2%Apr 30, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. functions as a global operator of various financial exchanges, primarily renowned for its options trading platforms, all managed through its numerous subsidiaries. The company organizes its expansive business activities into five distinct segments. The Options segment specializes in the trading of listed market indices. Its North American Equities division facilitates transactions for listed stocks in the United States and Canada, also offering services for exchange-traded products (ETPs), encompassing both trading and listing. The Futures segment is dedicated to futures trading.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T00:01:48.469141+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T20:50:44.529181+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T20:50:44.526291+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.