Cboe Global Markets, Inc. · CBOE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Cboe raises organic revenue outlook on record Q1

The current analysis supports the view that earnings growth and resilient demand can underpin Cboe's business trajectory: record Q1 performance, strong derivatives activity, DataVantage growth, and raised organic revenue guidance are positive evidence. The case remains conditional on sustained volatility and retail participation, successful crypto and Asia-Pacific expansion, disciplined spending, and execution through the CEO transition.

Reported Before market openCBOEFinancial Services $28.39B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.29
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $559.9M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.3% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.1% Up to 20 sessions
CBOESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows a stronger operating update: guidance is now raised rather than maintained, crypto products have launched, DataVantage ACV growth is highlighted, and the final equities exchange migration to Titania is complete. The CEO transition to Craig Donahue is a new strategic and execution consideration.

Guidance delta

Management's full-year organic net revenue outlook moved from maintained in the prior analysis to raised, at a mid-to-high single-digit growth range in the current analysis; CapEx remained unchanged at $75-$85 million.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis describes a record Q1, led by derivatives volumes, particularly SPX zero-day and VIX products.
  • DataVantage organic growth and higher Asia-Pacific ACV point to added momentum beyond transaction volumes.
  • Crypto-product launches, retail education, and the Titania technology migration broaden the growth agenda, while the CEO transition adds an execution item to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Expand Asia-Pacific sales and marketing.
  • Develop crypto products, including Bitcoin index options and futures.
  • Continue Titania platform migration, technology investment, retail education, and product innovation.
  • Pursue strategic inorganic opportunities when financially sensible.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CBOE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $512M Q4 '23 actual $969M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $505M Q1 '24 actual $957M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $515M Q2 '24 actual $974M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $531M Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $574M Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $624M Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $660M Q4 '25 actual $671M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $690M Q1 '26 actual $729M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $719M Q2 '26 actual $732M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $707M Q4 '26 estimate $705M Q1 '27 estimate $741M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1445.2%
Neutral1341.9%
Bearish412.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$271.26Current
$97Low
$244.86Average
$356High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeOct 2, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 3, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $271.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$300$277.19 +10.6%Oct 2, 2026
Goldman SachsAlexander Blostein$300$277.19 +10.6%Oct 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$301$277.19 +11.0%Oct 1, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsEli Abboud$356$289.08 +31.2%Aug 5, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$315$299.28 +16.1%Aug 3, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. functions as a global operator of various financial exchanges, primarily renowned for its options trading platforms, all managed through its numerous subsidiaries. The company organizes its expansive business activities into five distinct segments. The Options segment specializes in the trading of listed market indices. Its North American Equities division facilitates transactions for listed stocks in the United States and Canada, also offering services for exchange-traded products (ETPs), encompassing both trading and listing. The Futures segment is dedicated to futures trading.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T00:01:48.469141+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T20:50:44.529181+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T20:50:44.526291+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.