Chubb Limited · CB · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Chubb posts record quarter as underwriting and international growth lead

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: record underwriting results, broad premium growth and maintained guidance reinforce Chubb's trajectory, but catastrophe, pricing, social-inflation and macro risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $127.66B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.14 Consensus $5.98
EPS surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.90B Consensus $14.16B
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
CBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the current quarter showed record earnings and underwriting profit, a new $5 billion open-ended repurchase program, completion of the Liberty Mutual Thailand P&C acquisition, and maintained guidance sentiment.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance sentiment; no quantified guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record quarterly earnings and underwriting profit.
  • Middle-market and small-commercial P&C, life insurance, and international growth were emphasized.
  • Capital returns accelerated, while social inflation, catastrophe exposure, and pricing remained key risks.

Management priorities

  • Maintain disciplined underwriting and expand middle-market and small-commercial lines.
  • Pursue digital distribution and partnership expansion in Latin America.
  • Use flexible capital deployment, including buybacks and dividends, alongside organic and strategic growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5.31 Q1 '24 actual $5.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5.15 Q2 '24 actual $5.38, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4.98 Q3 '24 actual $5.72, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.98 Q2 '25 actual $6.14, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.17 Q3 '25 actual $7.49, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6.77 Q4 '25 actual $7.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6.60 Q1 '26 actual $6.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6.77 Q2 '26 actual $7.26, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.46 Q4 '26 estimate $7.22 Q1 '27 estimate $7.21 Q2 '27 estimate $7.23
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy43 ratings
Bullish2353.5%
Neutral1841.9%
Bearish24.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$330.89Current
$170Low
$313.97Average
$387High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $330.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$347$341.86 +4.9%Sep 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$360$345.29 +8.8%Aug 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$356$343.23 +7.6%Jul 23, 2026
Deutsche BankCave Montazeri$354$341.6 +7.0%Jul 22, 2026
Atlantic EquitiesAnalyst unavailable$301$339.6 -9.0%Jul 15, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Chubb Limited, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a global insurer and reinsurer, offering a broad spectrum of products across various markets. In North America, its Commercial Property & Casualty (P&C) division caters to businesses of all scales, from large corporations to small enterprises, providing a wide range of policies. These encompass commercial property, casualty, workers' compensation, package deals, risk management, financial lines, marine, construction, environmental, medical, cyber risk, surety, and excess casualty, alongside group accident and health insurance. The North America Personal P&C unit serves affluent individuals and high-net-worth families, delivering coverage for homeowners, automobiles (including collector vehicles), valuable possessions, personal and excess liability, travel, and recreational marine risks, complete with related services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T20:20:42.148625+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T20:20:42.145754+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.