Casey's General Stores, Inc. · CASY · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2024

Casey’s Q2: Strong Inside Sales, Fikes Integration Begins

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: prepared-food and beverage momentum, store expansion, and Fikes synergies may support growth, while integration, leverage, fuel margins, and cost volatility remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $25.84B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.29
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.04B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.4% Up to 20 sessions
CASYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Since the prior quarter, Casey’s completed the Fikes acquisition, reported continued inside-store momentum, and shifted the near-term focus toward integration and deleveraging. Management also raised FY2025 EBITDA guidance to at least 10% growth.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2025 EBITDA guidance to at least 10% growth, while prioritizing deleveraging toward 2x debt/EBITDA over share repurchases.

Key takeaways

  • Prepared food and beverage growth supported inside-store sales and margin expansion.
  • Fuel volume increased despite a 14% price decline, with margins around $0.40 per gallon.
  • The Fikes acquisition adds approximately $200 million of inside sales and 200 million gallons of fuel, with modest near-term EBITDA dilution.
  • Operating expense growth remained about 2% same-store, while same-store labor hours fell 1% for the 10th straight quarter.

Management priorities

  • Integrate and remodel Fikes stores over a 3–4 year horizon.
  • Centralize fuel pricing and procurement to capture synergies.
  • Continue store expansion while deleveraging toward a 2x debt/EBITDA ratio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CASY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $4B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4B Q1 '25 actual $4B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $5B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q1 '27 actual $6B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q3 '27 estimate $5B Q4 '27 estimate $5B Q1 '28 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1973.1%
Neutral726.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$699.26Current
$230Low
$746.47Average
$1,069High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 15, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 10, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 10, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $699.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalIrene Nattel$825$653.61 +18.0%Oct 15, 2026
Evercore ISIMichael Montani$775$619.14 +10.8%Sep 11, 2026
Deutsche BankKrisztina Katai$933$635.71 +33.4%Sep 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$720$629.03 +3.0%Sep 10, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$750$629.03 +7.3%Sep 10, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Casey's General Stores, Inc. engages in the provision of management and operation of convenience stores and gasoline stations. It provides self-service gasoline, a wide selection of grocery items, and an array of freshly prepared food items. The firm offers food, beverages, tobacco products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items. The company was founded by Donald F. Lamberti in 1968 and is headquartered in Ankeny, IA.

Historical context

All CASY earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-25T00:04:23.392881+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T17:10:43.781596+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T17:10:43.778788+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.