Cardinal Health, Inc. · CAH · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2024

Cardinal Health raises FY2025 outlook as Pharma leads growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Cardinal Health's Pharma and specialty growth, operational initiatives, and raised guidance strengthen the earnings trajectory, while GMPD costs and supply-chain risks remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $58.75B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.88 Consensus $1.62
EPS surprise +16.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $52.28B Consensus $50.90B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.0% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +6.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.5% Up to 20 sessions
CAHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management reported stronger Pharma performance, raised fiscal 2025 EPS and adjusted free cash flow guidance, and highlighted a pending $1.1 billion Integrated Oncology Network acquisition. GMPD profitability was pressured by unexpected health-and-welfare costs, although the improvement plan remained on track.

Guidance delta

Management raised fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to $7.75-$7.90 and adjusted free cash flow guidance to $1-$1.5 billion, from the prior quarter's $7.55-$7.70 EPS outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Pharma profit growth and strength across brand, specialty, GLP-1, and generics supported the quarter.
  • GMPD faced health-and-welfare cost pressure, while management said its improvement plan remains on track.
  • The company is investing in specialty, at-Home solutions, logistics technology, domestic syringe capacity, and oncology services.

Management priorities

  • Advance the GMPD Improvement Plan and expand domestic syringe production.
  • Launch and expand at-Home, specialty, and advanced-therapy offerings, including the Kangaroo OMNI pump and Advanced Therapy Connect.
  • Complete and integrate the pending Integrated Oncology Network acquisition and continue disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CAH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 6 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.60 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.95 Q3 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.73 Q4 '24 actual $1.84, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.62 Q1 '25 actual $1.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.34 Q4 '25 actual $2.63, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.79 Q1 '26 actual $3.17, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.98 Q1 '27 estimate $3.29 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12 Q3 '27 estimate $3.36

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish1854.5%
Neutral1545.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$253.71Current
$53Low
$192.16Average
$292High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 13, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $253.71. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalRyan Halsted$276$234.98 +8.8%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$275$234.16 +8.4%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$265$236.64 +4.4%Aug 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$270$240.26 +6.4%Aug 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$240.26 +10.4%Aug 12, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Cardinal Health, Inc. operates as a global, integrated provider of healthcare services and products, with its reach spanning the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, and other international markets. The company delivers bespoke support to a diverse clientele, including hospitals, healthcare networks, pharmacies, outpatient surgical centers, clinical labs, physician practices, and individuals receiving care at home. It is structured into two core divisions: Pharmaceutical and Medical. The Pharmaceutical division oversees the distribution of a wide array of products, encompassing branded, generic, and specialty pharmaceuticals, along with over-the-counter health and consumer goods. This segment additionally offers specialized services to pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers, particularly for specialty pharmaceutical products. Its operations extend to managing nuclear pharmacies and facilities that produce radiopharmaceuticals. It also performs repackaging of generic drugs and OTC items.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T04:20:42.086651+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T04:20:42.083926+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.