Conagra Brands, Inc. · CAG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2025

Conagra Maintains Outlook as Frozen and Snacks Recover

The quarter supports a measured recovery case: management sees second-half organic sales growth and frozen-market-share recovery, while productivity, supply-chain investment and Project Catalyst are intended to support margins. The evidence remains balanced by Q3 absorption pressure, inflation, pricing risk and the impairment charge.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $6.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.45 Consensus $0.44
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.98B Consensus $2.98B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.3% Up to 20 sessions
CAGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted the launch of Project Catalyst, completion of the new baked chicken facility with planned capacity expansion, and an impairment charge tied to a higher discount rate. Compared with the prior quarter, the focus shifted toward second-half organic sales growth, frozen promotions and absorbing the Ardent shortfall while maintaining the outlook.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, expecting organic net-sales growth in the second half and expressing confidence it can absorb the Ardent shortfall while remaining within its EPS range.

Key takeaways

  • Management expects organic net-sales growth in the second half of FY26.
  • Frozen market share has largely been reclaimed, with stronger promotions planned for the back half of FY26.
  • Margin expansion is expected from productivity, supply-chain improvements, selective pricing and Project Catalyst.
  • Innovation is focused on protein, clean-label and value-oriented products.
  • An impairment charge reflected a higher discount rate after a sustained stock-price decline.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Project Catalyst during calendar 2026.
  • Expand capacity at the baked chicken facility.
  • Continue innovation in protein and clean-label products.
  • Use productivity initiatives, supply-chain improvements and selective pricing to support margins.
  • Prioritize debt reduction in potential portfolio optimization activity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CAG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, match Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 actual $3B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish625.0%
Neutral1458.3%
Bearish416.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$14.16Current
$12Low
$23.73Average
$43High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 14, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $14.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankSteve Powers$13$15.12 -8.2%Sep 18, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$12.5$14.61 -11.7%Sep 14, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$14$14.44 -1.1%Jul 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$14$14.28 -1.1%Jul 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$16$14.04 +13.0%Jul 8, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Conagra Brands, Inc., a prominent manufacturer of packaged food products, conducts its business across North America through its various subsidiary companies. The firm organizes its extensive operations into four distinct segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice. The Grocery & Snacks division primarily distributes non-perishable food items through various retail channels within the United States. In contrast, the Refrigerated & Frozen segment focuses on supplying temperature-sensitive food products to comparable U.S. retail outlets.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T20:20:57.835484+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T20:20:57.832534+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.