BorgWarner Inc. · BWA · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

BorgWarner raises 2025 guidance as new awards offset operational risks

BorgWarner's Q3 results and raised 2025 outlook support a constructive near-term operating picture, with new awards and cost discipline providing support. The case remains exposed to supply disruption, customer downtime, battery-system weakness and EV program volatility.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $10.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.24 Consensus $1.16
EPS surprise +6.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.59B Consensus $3.48B
Revenue surprise +3.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.1% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.4% Up to 20 sessions
BWASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, management again raised full-year 2025 guidance and pointed to a broad set of new awards. Q3 results included margin expansion and strong free cash flow, but the call also identified a European customer cyber shutdown and Nexperia-related semiconductor constraints as operating risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 sales guidance to $14.1–$14.3 billion, adjusted operating margin to 10.3–10.5%, and EPS to $4.60–$4.75; free-cash-flow guidance was also raised, with no revised range supplied in the analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 results beat expectations, with organic sales up just over 2% and adjusted operating margin rising 60 basis points to 10.7%.
  • Free cash flow rose 32% to $266 million; more than $136 million was returned to shareholders.
  • New awards span turbochargers, e-products and battery systems, including programs with Chery, Stellantis, Great Wall Motor and HOLON Urban.
  • Management cited cost controls, a strong quoting environment and expected tariff recovery as support for performance.

Management priorities

  • Scale awarded foundational and electrified powertrain programs, including eVCT, integrated drive modules and battery systems.
  • Continue cost-control and productivity efforts while managing tariff recovery and semiconductor supply constraints.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions that meet industrial-logic and accretion criteria, alongside shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BWA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q3 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2259.5%
Neutral1335.1%
Bearish25.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.63Previous close
$36Low
$63.12Average
$95High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $51.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$91$63.36 +76.3%Oct 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAndrew Percoco$95$60.26 +84.0%Oct 6, 2026
RBC CapitalTom Narayan$87$64.16 +68.5%Aug 31, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$85$68.42 +64.6%Aug 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$79$67.46 +53.0%Aug 6, 2026
See 55 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) is a prominent global supplier of advanced propulsion technologies, catering to a wide spectrum of vehicles including those powered by internal combustion engines, hybrids, and fully electric drivetrains. The company's operations are divided into four primary business units: Air Management, E-Propulsion & Drivetrain, Fuel Injection, and Aftermarket. The Air Management segment is responsible for components that optimize engine performance and thermal control. This includes various turbocharging solutions (such as turbochargers, eBoosters, and eTurbos), engine timing and emissions control systems, thermal management products, gasoline ignition technology, smart actuators, powertrain sensors, and a range of battery-related items like modules, packs, heaters, and charging systems. The E-Propulsion & Drivetrain segment focuses on electrical powertrains and power transmission.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T09:10:44.666967+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T09:10:44.664214+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.