The Bank of Nova Scotia · BNS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

Scotiabank Q2 FY2026: Growth Holds, Credit Costs Need Watching

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: Scotiabank's growth initiatives, commercial and wealth momentum, and capital generation are positives, while credit costs, deposit competition and net interest margins temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $112.46B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.47 Consensus $1.42
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.24B Consensus $7.13B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
BNSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter's analysis emphasized new enterprise AI platforms and a relationship-based high-interest savings product, alongside continued commercial-loan, wealth-management and cross-sell priorities. Management's overall guidance sentiment was maintained, but impaired-provision expectations and margin durability remained areas of concern.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was maintained, while the analysis noted higher impaired-provision guidance as a concern.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong momentum in Canadian and International Banking, supported by commercial lending, deposits and wealth-management fees.
  • AI platforms and a new relationship-based savings product are positioned as growth and client-engagement initiatives.
  • Capital returns, organic investment and modest tuck-in acquisitions point to confidence, but credit and margin risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Scale Scotia Intelligence and Scotia Navigator across the enterprise.
  • Grow relationship-based deposits, commercial lending and wealth-management cross-sell.
  • Continue technology investment and selective tuck-in acquisitions in mortgage capital markets and international wealth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BNS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $19B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $19B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $13B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $13B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q3 '26 actual $8B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $11B Q2 '27 estimate $10B Q3 '27 estimate $11B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold19 ratings
Bullish1052.6%
Neutral842.1%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$92.25Current
$67Low
$72.15Average
$75.6High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 28, 2026
Scotiabank Hold HoldMaintainAug 30, 2023
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 21, 2023
CIBC Outperform NeutralUpgradeMar 2, 2021
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 13, 2020
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $92.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalDarko Mihelic$74$55.38 -19.8%Dec 4, 2024
BMO CapitalSohrab Movahedi$72$48.98 -22.0%Aug 28, 2024
UBSJill Shea$67$45.46 -27.4%Jul 2, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$75.6$62.51 -18.1%May 19, 2021

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and retail automotive financing solutions. It also provides business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses. In addition, it provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternatives, and institutional funds. The company was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All BNS earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-12T10:17:22.866412+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T05:00:57.366956+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T05:00:57.364193+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.