Booking Holdings Inc. · BKNG · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Booking Holdings: Strong Q3, raised outlook, AI still early

The supplied evidence supports the view that resilient travel demand, expanding alternative accommodations, Connected Trip activity, and operating leverage can support Booking Holdings’ earnings trajectory. The main counterweight is that AI monetization, marketing efficiency, competition, and external shocks remain unproven or uncertain.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $122.81B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $83.89 Consensus $77.52
EPS surprise +8.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.99B Consensus $7.64B
Revenue surprise +4.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move +6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +11.2% Up to 20 sessions
BKNGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifted the emphasis toward stronger European and Asian performance, continued alternative-accommodation and Connected Trip growth, broader AI deployment, and a raised full-year outlook. The prior analysis had already identified resilient demand, loyalty, direct bookings, and efficiency as important drivers.

Guidance delta

Management’s guidance sentiment was raised, with the current analysis describing a stronger full-year outlook than the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong performance in Europe and Asia, with resilient leisure demand supporting the quarter.
  • Alternative accommodations and Connected Trip activity continued to broaden the growth mix.
  • AI initiatives are progressing, but the financial payoff remains an open question.
  • The supplied analysis points to continued attention on operating leverage, direct channels, and loyalty.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI trip-planning and personalization features.
  • Expand alternative-accommodation supply and room-night share.
  • Grow Genius loyalty across additional travel verticals.
  • Advance the Connected Trip strategy and deepen Asia localization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BKNG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $5B Q4 '23 actual $5B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $8B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy71 ratings
Bullish4664.8%
Neutral2535.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$161.12Current
$86.84Low
$196.02Average
$309.84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 66 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $161.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$190$157.63 +17.9%Oct 7, 2026
Truist FinancialGregory Miller$216$162.34 +34.1%Sep 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$230$171.32 +42.8%Sep 16, 2026
BernsteinRichard Clarke$188$210.48 +16.7%Aug 26, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Mahaney$270$214.39 +67.6%Aug 24, 2026
See 137 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Booking Holdings Inc. is a leading global provider of online travel and dining reservation services. The company manages a portfolio of well-known digital platforms. Among these, Booking.com specializes in online accommodation bookings, while Rentalcars.com is dedicated to facilitating vehicle rentals. Priceline offers a comprehensive range of online travel booking options, encompassing hotels, flights, rental cars, vacation packages, and cruises, alongside hotel distribution services. Agoda also provides online lodging reservations, further expanding into flights, ground transportation, and activity bookings.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T14:20:55.318984+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T14:20:55.314112+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.