Bunge Global S.A. · BG · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Bunge maintains guidance as Viterra benefits begin to emerge

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive read: Bunge is showing early operational benefits from Viterra and maintained its full-year outlook, but the larger earnings contribution depends on future synergy capture and a volatile policy and commodity backdrop.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $20.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $1.94
EPS surprise +17.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $22.16B Consensus $14.73B
Revenue surprise +50.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.2% Up to 20 sessions
BGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the Viterra transaction had closed and early integration benefits were visible in soybean and softseed processing. Management still described synergy capture as modest in the near term, with greater potential expected through 2026 and a major contribution in 2027.

Guidance delta

Full-year adjusted EPS guidance was maintained at $7.30-$7.60.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS was $2.27 in Q3, while full-year adjusted EPS guidance remained $7.30-$7.60.
  • Viterra integration is improving soybean and softseed processing margins, but management said major synergy benefits are expected later.
  • Capital allocation remains active, with a stated $545 million share-buyback plan and $1.6-$1.7 billion capital-spending plan.

Management priorities

  • Continue integrating Viterra and capture commercial synergies.
  • Complete planned 2026 projects, including Moorestown, Destrehan, and specialty oils.
  • Balance growth capital spending with share repurchases while monitoring biofuel policy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.53 Q1 '24 actual $3.04, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.83 Q2 '24 actual $1.73, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.18 Q3 '24 actual $2.29, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.09 Q2 '25 actual $1.31, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.94 Q3 '25 actual $2.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.81 Q4 '25 actual $1.99, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $1.83, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.97 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.47 Q4 '26 estimate $3.10 Q1 '27 estimate $2.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy25 ratings
Bullish2184.0%
Neutral416.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$108.8Current
$90Low
$126.31Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 11, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 11, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $108.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSManav Gupta$155$123.5 +42.5%Sep 10, 2026
UBSManav Gupta$115$123.5 +5.7%Sep 10, 2026
BMO CapitalAndrew Strelzik$150$113.68 +37.9%Aug 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$150$126.31 +37.9%Apr 30, 2026
Morgan StanleySteven Haynes$130$112.75 +19.5%Mar 5, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Bunge Global S.A., established in 1818 and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, operates as a prominent international agribusiness and food corporation. Its diverse operations are categorized into four main divisions: Agribusiness, Refined and Specialty Oils, Milling, and Sugar and Bioenergy. The Agribusiness segment involves the sourcing, storage, transportation, processing, and sale of agricultural goods and their derivatives. Key commodities include various oilseeds such as soybeans, rapeseed, canola, and sunflower seeds, alongside grains like wheat and corn. These oilseeds are further processed into vegetable oils and protein-rich meals. This segment supplies a wide range of clients, including animal feed and livestock producers, millers of wheat and corn, other oilseed processors, and companies involved in edible oil and biofuel production, catering to both industrial and biodiesel applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T11:46:10.757526+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T11:46:10.754665+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.