KE Holdings Inc. · BEKE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

KE Holdings: GTV Growth Returns as Margins Reach a Three-Year High

The Q2 evidence supports a conditional version of the earnings-growth and resilient-demand thesis: GTV growth returned and profitability improved sharply, but revenue pressure in renovation and furnishing, property-market weakness, and AI execution risk leave the durability of the recovery unresolved.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $17.99B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.42 Consensus $0.31
EPS surprise +35.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.61B Consensus $3.59B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.5% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.3% Up to 20 sessions
BEKESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

GTV growth resumed, while profitability reached a three-year high. Management highlighted stronger platform-service economics, a net-basis rental model, and a broader AI-enabled transformation; renovation and furnishing revenue remained a drag.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. The supplied analysis does not identify a new quantitative guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • GTV growth resumed in Q2, while revenue declined as renovation and furnishing remained under pressure.
  • Non-GAAP net income rose 74.9% year over year, with profitability supported by cost discipline and higher contribution margins.
  • Management emphasized a consumer-centric, AI-enabled operating model and a shift toward platform services.
  • Carefree Rent moved to a net-basis revenue model, while share repurchases continued.
  • The central debate is whether operational gains can offset property-market weakness and renovation pressure.

Management priorities

  • Build a platform ecosystem around deep service, deep data, and AI-enabled workflows.
  • Refine AI applications across client management, pricing, and operations while selectively gating investment by return on investment.
  • Scale net-basis rental services and improve renewal rates and asset-light offerings.
  • Maintain a lean cost base and flexible resource allocation in a volatile market.
  • Focus expansion on Tier 1 and core Chinese cities where transaction recovery is stronger.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BEKE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $20B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, match Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $21B Q4 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '27 estimate $17B Q2 '27 estimate $26B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish1191.7%
Neutral18.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$16.28Previous close
$19Low
$23.42Average
$30High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2025
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 16, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 16, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 19, 2025
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $16.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CLSAAnalyst unavailable$23.8$16.87 +46.2%Aug 19, 2026
UBSJohn Lam$23$18.52 +41.3%May 12, 2026
Goldman SachsTimothy Zhao$21$17.06 +29.0%May 4, 2026
GriffinGriffin Chan$24.4$15.63 +49.9%Apr 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$23$17.22 +41.3%Feb 19, 2026
See 11 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KE Holdings Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates a comprehensive online and offline ecosystem facilitating real estate transactions and services across the People's Republic of China. Its business activities are categorized into five distinct segments: existing home sales, new home sales, home improvement and furnishing solutions, rental property services, and emerging and other offerings. At its core, the company manages the Beike platform, which integrates its digital and physical real estate services.…

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-21T20:13:55.181338+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T10:00:51.850877+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T10:00:51.848040+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.