KE Holdings Inc. · BEKE · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Beike’s growth broadens, but policy and execution risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: broad-based platform expansion, renovation and rental growth, and AI investment could support continued growth, but the case depends on property-market stabilization, disciplined costs, and successful AI execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $20.22B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.26
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $27.34B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -16.9% Up to 20 sessions
BEKESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis places greater emphasis on AI deployment and shareholder returns while describing stronger platform scale and a broader contribution from renovation and rental services. The policy-supported rebound and margin risks remain.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided in the supplied analysis; management discussed 2025 AI investment and ecosystem expansion plans.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied transcript analysis describes record revenue and GTV, with renovation and rental services as important growth contributors.
  • Management is scaling AI tools, including ChatHome, Pudding and agent assistants, to improve platform and delivery efficiency.
  • The analysis points to continued store and agent expansion, shareholder returns, and policy-supported property-market recovery.

Management priorities

  • Increase AI investment and expand AI assistants across the platform.
  • Continue store and agent-network expansion through large-store and points-based programs.
  • Advance renovation delivery, Beihaojia services, and shareholder-return plans.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BEKE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $20B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, match Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '27 estimate $20B Q2 '27 estimate $24B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish1191.7%
Neutral18.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.07Current
$19Low
$23.42Average
$30High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2025
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 16, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 16, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 19, 2025
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CLSAAnalyst unavailable$23.8$16.87 +31.7%Aug 19, 2026
UBSJohn Lam$23$18.52 +27.3%May 12, 2026
Goldman SachsTimothy Zhao$21$17.06 +16.2%May 4, 2026
GriffinGriffin Chan$24.4$15.63 +35.0%Apr 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$23$17.22 +27.3%Feb 19, 2026
See 11 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KE Holdings Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates a comprehensive online and offline ecosystem facilitating real estate transactions and services across the People's Republic of China. Its business activities are categorized into five distinct segments: existing home sales, new home sales, home improvement and furnishing solutions, rental property services, and emerging and other offerings. At its core, the company manages the Beike platform, which integrates its digital and physical real estate services.…

Historical context

All BEKE earnings

Real Estate peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
PLD Prologis, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +105.9% -2.7% Prologis raises guidance as logistics and data-center demand stays strong

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-03-06T20:24:52.555694+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T22:20:44.433391+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T22:20:44.430708+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.