Barclays PLC · BCS · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Barclays raises NII guidance while executing its efficiency and RWA plan

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient deposits, structural-hedge income, efficiency actions, and higher-return UK businesses support the trajectory, while credit costs, rates, regulation, and execution remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $72.59B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.42 Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.00B Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.1% Event window
SPY move -1.4% Same window
Abnormal move -3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
BCSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management raised NII guidance to about £11bn, reported a 13.6% CET1 ratio and a £1.2bn first-half shareholder return, and advanced the Tesco acquisition and disposal plans. The RWA shift toward higher-return UK businesses remains central.

Guidance delta

Management raised net interest income guidance to about £11bn for the year, citing stable deposits and structural-hedge income.

Key takeaways

  • Management said RoTE was above the 2024 target and on pace for the longer-term target above 12%.
  • Net interest income guidance was raised to about £11bn for the year.
  • The £1bn cost-saving programme remains on track, with the cost-to-income ratio around 63%.
  • CET1 was 13.6%, alongside a £1.2bn shareholder return for the first half.
  • The RWA strategy targets a shift toward higher-return UK businesses by 2026.

Management priorities

  • Complete the Tesco retail-banking acquisition by November 2024.
  • Continue the £1bn cost-saving programme and pursue further efficiency actions.
  • Reinvest about 75% of maturing hedge notional.
  • Shift about £30bn of RWAs toward higher-return UK franchises.
  • Expand the Smart Investor digital programme and private-banking assets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BCS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 11 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $7B Q1 '25 actual $10B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $10B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $9B Q4 '25 actual $10B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '26 actual $11B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $11B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q3 '26 actual $10B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $12B Q3 '27 estimate $11B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy25 ratings
Bullish1768.0%
Neutral728.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$22.26Current
$33Low
$33Average
$33High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 14, 2026
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeMar 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 18, 2025
B of A Securities Underperform NeutralDowngradeOct 26, 2023
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeSep 26, 2023
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $22.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysTheresa Chen$33$22.95 +48.2%Oct 9, 2026

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Barclays PLC provides various financial services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The company operates through Barclays UK; Barclays UK Corporate Bank; Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management; Barclays Investment Bank; and Barclays US Consumer Bank segments. It offers financial services, such as current accounts, savings accounts, mortgages and unsecured lending, such as credit cards and loans retail banking, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management, and investment management services, as well as lending products. In addition, the company engages in securities dealing activities and issuing of credit cards. The company was formerly known as Barclays Bank public limited company and changed its name to Barclays PLC in January 1985. Barclays PLC was founded in 1690 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T12:10:43.703258+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T12:10:43.700480+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.