Baxter International Inc. · BAX · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
Baxter raises outlook as surgery and infusion demand holds up
Baxter's Q3 analysis supports a recovery narrative: demand and operational improvements strengthened results, but product exits, quality work, supply constraints and margin pressure remain important tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shows a higher full-year organic sales outlook of 3–4% and adjusted EPS outlook of $2.05–$2.15. The quarter also highlighted $448 million of free cash flow, a $600 million tender offer that retired $864 million of debt, the Round Lake cephalosporin exit, and progress on quality metrics.
Guidance delta
Raised: full-year organic sales growth outlook moved to 3–4%, and adjusted EPS outlook moved to $2.05–$2.15.
Key takeaways
- Q3 sales grew 5% year over year, with Advanced Surgery, Infusion Systems and Drug Compounding identified as growth areas.
- Free cash flow of $448 million supported debt reduction and the tender offer.
- Management cited progress on quality actions and operational improvement through Baxter GPS.
- The cephalosporin discontinuation removes $50 million of revenue and $30 million of operating income in 2026.
- The analysis still flags inflation, tariffs, price deflation, supply issues and regulatory scrutiny as risks.
Management priorities
- Continue Baxter GPS operational-improvement work.
- Roll out Novum LVP and the Spectrum IQ platform.
- Address Round Lake quality observations through corrective and preventive actions.
- Use free cash flow for debt reduction, R&D and manufacturing upgrades, with strategic tuck-in acquisitions under consideration.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 31, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 21, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 5, 2024 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 28, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 10, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 5, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 12, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 5, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Jan 29, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 24, 2020 |
| SVB Leerink | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 1, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 6, 2020 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Nov 8, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 2, 2018 |
| Leerink Swann | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 1, 2018 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 1, 2018 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 27, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 22, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 30, 2018 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 30, 2017 |
| CL King | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 4, 2013 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 27, 2012 |
| Dougherty & Co. | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 5, 2012 |
| Dougherty | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 5, 2012 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 16, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $23.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Matthew Taylor | $25 | $23.5 | +6.4% | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $24.36 | -14.9% | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $26.75 | +19.1% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $24.49 | +6.4% | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Rick Wise | $24 | $23.34 | +2.1% | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21.8 | -10.6% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $24 | $22.22 | +2.1% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $17.21 | +14.9% | May 4, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $20.54 | -27.7% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Danielle Antalffy | $19 | $19.79 | -19.1% | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $19.23 | -14.9% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $25 | $18.71 | +6.4% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $18.71 | -19.1% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $18.71 | -14.9% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Matt Miksic | $30 | $20.69 | +27.7% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $20.69 | -2.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $23 | $20.02 | -2.1% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Patrick Wood | $15 | $19.08 | -36.2% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | David Roman | $22 | $18.81 | -6.4% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $19.18 | -6.4% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $22.44 | +53.2% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $22.44 | +2.1% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Vijay Kumar | $42 | $29.26 | +78.7% | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Bank of America Securities | Travis Steed | $45 | $36.32 | +91.5% | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Matthew Taylor | $42 | $36.92 | +78.7% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Patrick Wood | $30 | $35.32 | +27.7% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | David Roman | $36 | $33.31 | +53.2% | Jun 12, 2024 |
| UBS | Danielle Antalffy | $40 | $36.91 | +70.2% | May 3, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Matthew Taylor | $43 | $36.89 | +83.0% | May 2, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Rick Wise | $44 | $36.72 | +87.2% | May 2, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matt Miksic | $54 | $45.26 | +129.8% | Jul 31, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Philippe Houchois | $85 | $47.01 | +261.7% | Jul 31, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Joanne Wuensch | $44 | $39.71 | +87.2% | Mar 27, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $70.35 | +261.7% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $70.2 | +283.0% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Travis Steed | $100 | $85.19 | +325.5% | Mar 3, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Lewis | $105 | $82.35 | +346.8% | Feb 18, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Amit Hazan | $91 | $85.91 | +287.2% | Feb 13, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Joanne Wuensch | $101 | $87.16 | +329.8% | Jan 7, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Robbie Marcus | $95 | $83.36 | +304.3% | Dec 17, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Josh Jennings | $98 | $82.93 | +317.0% | Dec 13, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Matthew O'Brien | $82 | $80.49 | +248.9% | Sep 2, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationBaxter International Inc., operating globally via its subsidiaries, is a leading developer and provider of a wide spectrum of healthcare products. The company's comprehensive portfolio includes various dialysis treatments, such as peritoneal and hemodialysis, along with related therapies and services. It also specializes in intravenous (IV) therapies, infusion pumps, administration sets, and devices for drug reconstitution. Further expanding its pharmaceutical offerings, Baxter delivers pre-mixed and oncology drug platforms, inhaled anesthetic agents, critical care products, and pharmacy compounding services. Nutritional support is provided through its parenteral nutrition therapies and associated products. For surgical procedures, the company develops biological products and medical devices vital for achieving hemostasis, tissue sealing, and preventing adhesions. Additionally, Baxter supplies continuous renal replacement therapies (CRRT) and other organ support solutions, primarily tailored for intensive care units.…
Historical context
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FTAIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+1.4% EPS+17.3% move
- XPOFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+7.6% EPS+0.7% move
- LINFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+1.5% EPS-1.0% move
- WSTFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+20.9% EPS+3.2% move
- APGFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+6.3% EPS+8.9% move
- TROWFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+8.7% EPS+2.5% move
Missed on EPS
- BBVAFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-1.6% EPS-2.2% move
- INSMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-20.2% EPS+15.1% move
- STMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-7.5% EPS+3.0% move
- SCIFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-2.1% EPS-8.7% move
- AMFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-5.6% EPS+3.7% move
- INGFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-5.1% EPS-2.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T17:06:19.118589+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T05:50:43.408273+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T05:50:43.405344+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.