Baxter International Inc. · BAX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Baxter raises guidance as Q2 growth strengthens

Baxter's Q2 results support a cautiously constructive operating trajectory: organic growth accelerated, guidance increased and cash flow improved. The evidence is less conclusive on the durability of earnings growth because the EPS benefit included a one-time tariff refund and execution risks remain.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $11.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.56 Consensus $0.37
EPS surprise +52.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.96B Consensus $2.80B
Revenue surprise +5.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.0% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +6.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.1% Up to 20 sessions
BAXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's maintained outlook and cautious tone, management reported stronger organic growth, raised full-year sales and EPS guidance, and described positive free cash flow. The call also added a $75 million tariff refund as a material EPS contributor and highlighted continued progress on connected-care products.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year organic sales guidance to 2–3% and adjusted EPS guidance to $1.95–$2.15.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 organic revenue grew 5%, led by Advanced Surgery, Drug Compounding and Care & Connectivity Solutions.
  • A $75 million IEEPA tariff refund added $0.11 to adjusted EPS; free cash flow was positive at $181 million.
  • Management cited volume growth, cost-structure actions and improved cash conversion.
  • Supply constraints and regulatory work on the Novum IQ LVP pump remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Deliver higher second-half volumes and cost-structure improvements.
  • Complete verification testing and pursue regulatory clearance for Novum IQ LVP.
  • Expand Dynamo and connected-care products, including PeerVue and Connex 360.
  • Continue balance-sheet improvement toward approximately 3x net leverage by year-end.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.86 Q4 '23 actual $0.88, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.61 Q1 '24 actual $0.65, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.66 Q2 '24 actual $0.68, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.78 Q3 '24 actual $0.80, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.60 Q2 '25 actual $0.59, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.60 Q3 '25 actual $0.69, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.53 Q4 '25 actual $0.44, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.31 Q1 '26 actual $0.36, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.37 Q2 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.52 Q4 '26 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 estimate $0.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1440.0%
Neutral2057.1%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$22.93Current
$15Low
$49.39Average
$105High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2026
Citigroup Neutral SellUpgradeJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $22.93. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$28$26.75 +22.1%Jul 31, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$25$24.49 +9.0%Jul 28, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$24$23.34 +4.7%Jul 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$21$21.8 -8.4%Jul 15, 2026
Evercore ISIVijay Kumar$24$22.22 +4.7%Jul 6, 2026
See 35 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Baxter International Inc., operating globally via its subsidiaries, is a leading developer and provider of a wide spectrum of healthcare products. The company's comprehensive portfolio includes various dialysis treatments, such as peritoneal and hemodialysis, along with related therapies and services. It also specializes in intravenous (IV) therapies, infusion pumps, administration sets, and devices for drug reconstitution. Further expanding its pharmaceutical offerings, Baxter delivers pre-mixed and oncology drug platforms, inhaled anesthetic agents, critical care products, and pharmacy compounding services. Nutritional support is provided through its parenteral nutrition therapies and associated products. For surgical procedures, the company develops biological products and medical devices vital for achieving hemostasis, tissue sealing, and preventing adhesions. Additionally, Baxter supplies continuous renal replacement therapies (CRRT) and other organ support solutions, primarily tailored for intensive care units.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T18:13:29.871655+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T04:50:51.539690+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T04:50:51.536835+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.