Baxter International Inc. · BAX · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Baxter: Strong Q3 EPS, but Hurricane Disruption Lowers Outlook

Baxter's Q3 showed resilient demand in pumps, Advanced Surgery, Patient Support Systems, and drug compounding, but the near-term outlook depends on restoring North Cove production and managing separation-related costs. The supplied analysis supports a mixed view: operating momentum and 2025 targets are constructive, while hurricane disruption, supply constraints, and market softness temper confidence.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $13.08B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.80 Consensus $0.78
EPS surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.85B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.9% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.1% Up to 20 sessions
BAXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added a material operational overhang: Hurricane Helene disrupted the North Cove facility and was expected to reduce Q4 revenue by $200 million. Kidney Care is now treated as a discontinued operation and is slated for sale to Carlyle; management emphasized a phased production recovery, cost containment, and plans to offset stranded costs and lost transition-services income.

Guidance delta

Management's outlook was lowered in the quarter, while it reiterated 2025 targets of 4%-5% top-line growth and a 16.5% adjusted operating margin after the Kidney Care separation.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 sales grew 4% year over year and adjusted EPS was $0.80, beating guidance.
  • Hurricane Helene caused an expected $200 million Q4 revenue impact through disruption at North Cove.
  • Novum IQ and Spectrum pump adoption, Advanced Surgery, Patient Support Systems, and drug compounding were highlighted as growth drivers.
  • Management is targeting 4%-5% 2025 organic top-line growth and a 16.5% adjusted operating margin after the Kidney Care separation.
  • The recovery plan, stranded costs, supply constraints, and Primary Care softness remain important execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Restore North Cove lines and reach full production capacity.
  • Launch new HST and Pharmaceutical products during 2025.
  • Rationalize U.S. distribution centers after the Kidney Care separation.
  • Continue cost-containment programs to improve operating leverage.
  • Use transition-services income and other measures to address stranded costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1440.0%
Neutral2057.1%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$25.3Current
$15Low
$49.09Average
$105High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $25.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$20$24.36 -20.9%Oct 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$28$26.75 +10.7%Jul 31, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$25$24.49 -1.2%Jul 28, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$24$23.34 -5.1%Jul 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$21$21.8 -17.0%Jul 15, 2026
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Baxter International Inc., operating globally via its subsidiaries, is a leading developer and provider of a wide spectrum of healthcare products. The company's comprehensive portfolio includes various dialysis treatments, such as peritoneal and hemodialysis, along with related therapies and services. It also specializes in intravenous (IV) therapies, infusion pumps, administration sets, and devices for drug reconstitution. Further expanding its pharmaceutical offerings, Baxter delivers pre-mixed and oncology drug platforms, inhaled anesthetic agents, critical care products, and pharmacy compounding services. Nutritional support is provided through its parenteral nutrition therapies and associated products. For surgical procedures, the company develops biological products and medical devices vital for achieving hemostasis, tissue sealing, and preventing adhesions. Additionally, Baxter supplies continuous renal replacement therapies (CRRT) and other organ support solutions, primarily tailored for intensive care units.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T06:50:41.310508+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T06:50:41.307759+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.