Bank of America Corporation · BAC · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Bank of America: confident outlook, with rate and expense risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis for Bank of America: resilient deposits, client activity, digital adoption and fee businesses provide support, while the case depends on net interest income execution, expense discipline and stable credit and capital conditions.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $361.53B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.78
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $25.14B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.7% Up to 20 sessions
BACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis presents a stronger tone than the prior quarter, with greater emphasis on continued net interest income growth, deposit-franchise momentum, digital investment and operating leverage. The main unresolved questions remain rate sensitivity, expense control, capital requirements and credit quality.

Guidance delta

Management maintained a constructive outlook, emphasizing continued net interest income growth and operating leverage while noting rate, expense, capital and credit sensitivities.

Key takeaways

  • Management described deposit and client activity as the foundation for continued growth.
  • Digital platforms, wealth management, investment banking and markets remain central revenue priorities.
  • The outlook is constructive, but interest-rate sensitivity and expense discipline remain important tests.
  • Credit quality, regulatory capital and compliance costs remain areas to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Expand the deposit franchise and reduce higher-cost funding
  • Invest in digital platforms and selected financial-center growth
  • Drive operating leverage while containing expense growth
  • Continue capital returns and deepen client and brand relationships

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BAC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $25B Q2 '24 actual $24B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $25B Q3 '24 actual $25B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $27B Q2 '25 actual $26B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $28B Q3 '25 actual $28B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $28B Q4 '25 actual $28B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $30B Q1 '26 actual $30B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $31B Q2 '26 actual $32B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $31B Q3 '26 actual $30B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $31B Q1 '27 estimate $32B Q2 '27 estimate $33B Q3 '27 estimate $33B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy54 ratings
Bullish3564.8%
Neutral1833.3%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.7Previous close
$36Low
$55.97Average
$144High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 15, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Show 49 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $51.7. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$64$51.39 +23.8%Oct 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$61$51.39 +18.0%Oct 15, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$68$51.39 +31.5%Oct 15, 2026
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$60$51.39 +16.1%Oct 15, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$72$54 +39.3%Oct 6, 2026
See 99 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally through its various subsidiaries, Bank of America Corporation offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial products and services. Its extensive clientele includes individual consumers, small and mid-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and government bodies worldwide. The Consumer Banking division provides diverse options such as traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts (IRAs), and both interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, in addition to investment products. This segment also issues credit and debit cards, originates residential mortgages and home equity loans, and offers direct and indirect financing for needs like automotive purchases, recreational vehicles, and personal loans. Within its Global Wealth & Investment Management segment, the company delivers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement solutions.…

Historical context

All BAC earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-06T13:25:24.717525+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T09:00:43.402890+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T09:00:43.399404+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.