The Boeing Company · BA · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Boeing balances production progress against 777X certification risk

Boeing's latest call supports a mixed operating picture: commercial production, defense demand, and cash generation improved, but the delayed 777X program and execution constraints weaken the case that operational progress alone will translate into a smoother earnings trajectory.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $152.98B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-7.47 Consensus $-5.16
EPS surprise -44.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $23.27B Consensus $22.06B
Revenue surprise +5.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.4% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.5% Up to 20 sessions
BASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted continued production progress and positive free cash flow, while the 777X certification delay pushed the delivery timeline out and created a large program charge. The focus also broadened to capacity expansion, Spirit integration, digital services, and culture change.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continued to outline higher production rates and expanded capacity while acknowledging certification and supply-chain constraints.

Key takeaways

  • Commercial production is progressing, with management focused on further 737 and 787 rate increases.
  • The 777X certification delay changes the delivery timeline and adds a significant program charge.
  • Positive free cash flow and defense demand support the backdrop, but execution risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Increase 737 and 787 production while addressing supply-chain and certification bottlenecks
  • Advance the 777X program, Spirit integration, and Jeppesen transaction
  • Deliver defense contracts, expand digital services, and continue culture-change initiatives

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-1.63 Q1 '24 actual $-1.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-1.95 Q2 '24 actual $-2.90, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-10.35 Q3 '24 actual $-10.44, miss Q2 '25 estimate $-1.40 Q2 '25 actual $-1.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-5.16 Q3 '25 actual $-7.47, miss Q4 '25 estimate $-0.44 Q4 '25 actual $9.92, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.68 Q1 '26 actual $-0.20, beat Q2 '26 estimate $-0.34 Q2 '26 actual $-0.76, miss Q3 '26 estimate $-0.22 Q4 '26 estimate $0.07 Q1 '27 estimate $0.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy55 ratings
Bullish3869.1%
Neutral1221.8%
Bearish59.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$193.56Current
$109Low
$233.69Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 11, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform UnderperformUpgradeAug 3, 2026
Show 50 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $193.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$265$200.76 +36.9%Sep 21, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$265$232.79 +36.9%Aug 11, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$305$234.28 +57.6%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$265$212.4 +36.9%Jul 29, 2026
Robert W. BairdPeter Arment$300$221.56 +55.0%Jul 29, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Boeing Company is a global aerospace powerhouse specializing in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and comprehensive support of commercial airliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense systems, human space flight, and launch technologies, along with related services across the globe. Its operations are organized into four key segments. The Commercial Airplanes division delivers commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo transport, alongside essential fleet support services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T22:10:42.303914+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T22:10:42.301252+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.