The Boeing Company · BA · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Boeing emphasizes production recovery while tariff and China risks persist

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive recovery case: delivery growth, production normalization, defense awards, and services strength improve the operating trajectory. The case remains dependent on KPI stability, certification progress, China execution, and control of tariff and supplier costs.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $149.17B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $-1.44
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $19.81B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.1% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.9% Up to 20 sessions
BASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis describes commercial deliveries above plan, higher revenue, continued progress toward 737 and 787 rate increases, the F-47 award, and a digital-solutions divestiture. Tariff mitigation and China delivery management are now prominent execution issues.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was maintained; the supplied analysis does not provide a new numerical guidance range.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 130 commercial deliveries and 18% revenue growth, with 737 and 787 production ramps still central to the recovery.
  • The company highlighted the F-47 award, stronger defense and services performance, and portfolio streamlining.
  • Tariff costs were estimated below $500 million annually, while China delivery exposure is being managed through remarketing and reallocation.

Management priorities

  • Stabilize production KPIs before each commercial rate increase
  • Raise 737 MAX output toward 38 per month and 787 output toward seven per month
  • Advance 777X certification, MQ-25 testing, and non-core digital asset divestitures

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
BA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $16B Q1 '24 actual $17B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $17B Q2 '24 actual $17B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $18B Q3 '24 actual $18B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $22B Q2 '25 actual $23B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $22B Q3 '25 actual $23B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $23B Q4 '25 actual $24B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $22B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $24B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $24B Q4 '26 estimate $27B Q1 '27 estimate $27B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy55 ratings
Bullish3869.1%
Neutral1221.8%
Bearish59.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$188.73Previous close
$119Low
$233.86Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Show 50 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $188.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$235$184.45 +24.5%Oct 15, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$278$190.37 +47.3%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysAnthony Valentini$300$187.75 +59.0%Oct 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$265$200.76 +40.4%Sep 21, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$265$232.79 +40.4%Aug 11, 2026
See 119 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Boeing Company is a global aerospace powerhouse specializing in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and comprehensive support of commercial airliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense systems, human space flight, and launch technologies, along with related services across the globe. Its operations are organized into four key segments. The Commercial Airplanes division delivers commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo transport, alongside essential fleet support services.…

Historical context

All BA earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-09T00:03:27.736600+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T10:40:42.927526+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T10:40:42.924763+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.