American Express Company · AXP · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

American Express: resilient growth, unchanged FY2025 guidance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: premium card acquisition, card-fee growth, product expansion and resilient credit performance supported Q1 results, while unchanged guidance and identified macro, tariff and credit risks temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $205.46B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.47
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $16.98B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +19.3% Up to 20 sessions
AXPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current call added Q1 evidence of 8% revenue growth, 20% card-fee growth, 3.4 million new cards and strong delinquency performance. Management also highlighted Center integration and reiterated unchanged FY2025 guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained; FY2025 guidance remained unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 8% year over year to $17 billion, with EPS of $3.64.
  • Premium customer growth and card-fee revenue remained central growth drivers.
  • Credit quality was described as strong, while macro and tariff uncertainty remained risks.
  • Management said FY2025 guidance was unchanged at 8–10% revenue growth and $15–$15.50 EPS.

Management priorities

  • Execute 35–50 product refreshes scheduled for the year.
  • Invest in technology infrastructure and SME platform integration.
  • Expand the premium product suite and enhance rewards and experiences.
  • Maintain disciplined expense management while pursuing growth opportunities.
  • Continue dividend growth and shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AXP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.96 Q1 '24 actual $3.33, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.24 Q2 '24 actual $3.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.28 Q3 '24 actual $3.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.89 Q2 '25 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.00 Q3 '25 actual $4.14, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.54 Q4 '25 actual $3.53, match Q1 '26 estimate $4.00 Q1 '26 actual $4.28, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.41 Q2 '26 actual $4.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.59 Q4 '26 estimate $4.30 Q1 '27 estimate $4.73 Q2 '27 estimate $5.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold57 ratings
Bullish2340.4%
Neutral3052.6%
Bearish47.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$308.17Current
$146Low
$273.16Average
$415High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 5, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 1, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $308.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAndrew Bauch$380$308.1 +23.3%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$345$302.78 +12.0%Oct 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$342$302.78 +11.0%Oct 5, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$320$304.1 +3.8%Oct 1, 2026
UBSErika Najarian$384$336.25 +24.6%Aug 3, 2026
See 108 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, American Express Company and its affiliated entities deliver a comprehensive suite of charge and credit payment card solutions, alongside a variety of travel-related offerings. Its business structure is organized into three primary divisions: the Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. Among its core offerings are diverse payment and financing instruments, robust network infrastructure services, tools for managing accounts payable expenses, and comprehensive travel and lifestyle support.…

Historical context

All AXP earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-03T00:02:43.581688+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T20:20:44.664018+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T20:20:44.661245+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.