AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · ASTS · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

AST SpaceMobile advances satellite launch and commercial readiness

The supplied analysis supports a constructive commercial-readiness thesis: operator commitments, satellite production and ASIC progress improve the path toward service, but launch, regulatory, funding and production execution remain material conditions.

Reported After market closeNASDAQCommunication Services $16.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.14 Consensus $-0.22
EPS surprise +35.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $900,000 Consensus $7.6M
Revenue surprise -88.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +50.7% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +49.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.9% Up to 20 sessions
ASTSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Since the prior quarter, AST completed AST5000 ASIC tape-out, obtained an initial FCC license, secured a $100 million Verizon commitment, increased cash to $287.6 million, and started production of 17 Block 2 satellites.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reiterated its operating-expense and capital-spend guidance for Q3-Q4 2024.

Key takeaways

  • Management scheduled the first five BlueBird satellites for a September launch.
  • Verizon committed $100 million, including $65 million prepaid, while cash rose to $287.6 million.
  • AST completed AST5000 ASIC tape-out and began production of 17 Block 2 satellites.
  • An initial FCC license covers V, F and UHF frequencies for the first five satellites.

Management priorities

  • Launch the first five BlueBird satellites
  • Ramp production and launch of Block 2 satellites
  • Integrate AST5000 ASIC into subsequent satellites
  • Expand mobile-network-operator and government relationships
  • Pursue export-credit financing

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ASTS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-0.21 Q4 '23 actual $-0.35, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.21 Q1 '24 actual $-0.16, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.22 Q2 '24 actual $-0.14, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.19 Q2 '25 actual $-0.41, miss Q3 '25 estimate $-0.39 Q3 '25 actual $-0.45, miss Q4 '25 estimate $-0.18 Q4 '25 actual $-0.26, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.26 Q1 '26 actual $-0.66, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-0.32 Q2 '26 actual $-0.77, miss Q3 '26 estimate $-0.42 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.33 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.33
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold8 ratings
Bullish450.0%
Neutral337.5%
Bearish112.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$39.79Previous close
$12.9Low
$66.53Average
$108High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 13, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeOct 12, 2026
B. Riley Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 2, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 11, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 11, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainApr 9, 2026
Clear Street Buy BuyMaintainNov 12, 2025
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $39.79. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$55.7$38.96 +40.0%Oct 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Potter$54$51.46 +35.7%Oct 13, 2026
B.Riley FinancialMike Crawford$65$57.04 +63.4%Oct 2, 2026
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$92$55.8 +131.2%Sep 2, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$93$74.2 +133.7%Aug 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$78$68.49 +96.0%Aug 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$98$68.76 +146.3%Aug 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldColin Canfield$90$68.76 +126.2%Aug 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$100$66.31 +151.3%Jul 15, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$106$110.32 +166.4%May 29, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$106$109.78 +166.4%May 29, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$80$74.81 +101.1%May 13, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$108$71.61 +171.4%May 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$71.59 +101.1%May 12, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$115$85.53 +189.0%Apr 20, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$117$87.58 +194.0%Apr 15, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$137$115.77 +244.3%Jan 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$137$115.77 +244.3%Jan 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$45.6$51.37 +14.6%Nov 24, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$42.9$71.47 +7.8%Oct 7, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$60$49.08 +50.8%Oct 1, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$47.9$33.8 +20.4%Mar 5, 2025
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$63$30.75 +58.3%Sep 4, 2024
ScotiabankAndres Coello$45.9$31.07 +15.4%Aug 26, 2024
ScotiabankAndres Coello$28$29.57 -29.6%Aug 16, 2024
B.Riley FinancialMike Crawford$26$26.16 -34.7%Aug 15, 2024
UBSChristopher Schoell$30$20.81 -24.6%Aug 15, 2024
UBSChris Schoell$13$8.52 -67.3%Jun 10, 2024
ScotiabankAndres Graham$12.9$8.6 -67.6%May 30, 2024
ScotiabankAndres Graham$7.4$2.63 -81.4%Apr 2, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. establishes and operates a satellite-based cellular broadband network designed to connect directly with standard mobile phones. Through its SpaceMobile service, it delivers mobile internet access to individuals in remote or unserved locations that lack traditional terrestrial mobile coverage, whether on land, across oceans, or during air travel. The company is situated in Midland, Texas.

Historical context

All ASTS earnings

Communication Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T05:20:43.062395+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T05:20:43.059578+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.