Arrow Electronics, Inc. · ARW · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Arrow’s record Q3 reflects broad demand, with inventory and mix risks to watch

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture: record results and broad demand across AI, cloud, cybersecurity and core end markets were complemented by value-added services. That strength is balanced by a sharp inventory build, component-price uncertainty, supply constraints and a hardware mix that may pressure ECS margins.

Why did ARW fall 12.6% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $9.01B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.22 Consensus $5.06
EPS surprise +22.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.72B Consensus $10.07B
Revenue surprise +6.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -12.6% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move -8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
ARWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q3 reached record revenue and non-GAAP EPS, with management pointing to demand across its end markets and contributions from value-added services. Inventory rose substantially, including a portion associated with AI compute and storage builds; leadership transitions in ECS and IT were also announced.

Guidance delta

Management provided Q4 sales and EPS guidance consistent with continued double-digit growth. The supplied analysis describes guidance as maintained; it does not provide a prior Q4 outlook for a direct numerical comparison.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue and non-GAAP EPS were supported by broad end-market demand and operating leverage.
  • Management cited AI, cloud, cybersecurity and hybrid infrastructure as demand drivers, alongside industrial, aerospace and transportation markets.
  • Value-added services support profitability, while a higher hardware mix in ECS could weigh on net-sales margins.
  • The Q4 outlook remains for double-digit growth, but inventory, component prices and supply availability merit monitoring.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI, cloud and cybersecurity offerings for mid-market customers.
  • Invest in Arrow Intelligent Solutions to support AI compute and storage demand.
  • Deepen supplier relationships and pursue additional distribution rights.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation while carrying out leadership transitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ARW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.31 Q1 '24 actual $2.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.16 Q2 '24 actual $2.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.22 Q3 '24 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.03 Q2 '25 actual $2.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.28 Q3 '25 actual $2.41, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.55 Q4 '25 actual $4.39, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.92 Q1 '26 actual $5.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.59 Q2 '26 actual $5.45, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.96 Q4 '26 estimate $6.28 Q1 '27 estimate $5.43 Q2 '27 estimate $5.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold17 ratings
Bullish635.3%
Neutral952.9%
Bearish211.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$180.83Current
$126Low
$189.29Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeMay 13, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 1, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2024
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 3, 2023
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 10, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainMay 1, 2020
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainNov 1, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainJul 16, 2019
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMay 4, 2018
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 22, 2016
CLSA Outperform BuyMaintainOct 29, 2015
Cross Research Buy HoldUpgradeJun 24, 2015
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2014
Miller Tabak Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 18, 2012
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 2, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $180.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$250$199.51 +38.3%Aug 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$250$200.58 +38.3%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$175$206.61 -3.2%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$260$229.35 +43.8%Jun 4, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$220$196.69 +21.7%May 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$165$189.83 -8.8%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$240$189.86 +32.7%May 7, 2026
Bank of America SecuritiesRuplu Bhattacharya$137$126.98 -24.2%Aug 11, 2024
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$126$129.66 -30.3%Feb 6, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$100$132.49 -44.7%Feb 3, 2023
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$131$133.12 -27.6%Feb 3, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$150$132.53 -17.0%Feb 3, 2023
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$127$121.98 -29.8%Jul 27, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Arrow Electronics, Inc. provides a wide array of products, services, and strategic solutions to industrial and commercial clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific who depend on electronic components and sophisticated enterprise computing solutions. The company is organized into two main segments: Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. The Global Components division primarily handles the marketing and distribution of various items, including semiconductor products and their related services.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T17:13:24.317132+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:10:52.209675+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:10:52.206204+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.