Aramark · ARMK · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025

Aramark Maintains FY25 Guidance After Record Q3

The current analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong retention, new client wins, international expansion and supply-chain efficiencies provide operating support, while event disruption, medical costs, labor issues and integration risks temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $14.52B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.40 Consensus $0.40
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.63B Consensus $5.17B
Revenue surprise -10.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.2% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -7.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.5% Up to 20 sessions
ARMKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's priorities now emphasize execution of the collegiate and HBCU expansion, the Entier acquisition and AI-driven contract intelligence. The current analysis also adds event cancellations, medical expenses and labor disruption as specific execution risks, while guidance sentiment remains maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY25 guidance and expressed confidence in the fourth-quarter outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management analysis describes record Q3 revenue and profitability, with adjusted EPS up nearly 30%.
  • Client retention remained above 97%, while new wins supported the pipeline across sports, education and healthcare.
  • AI-enabled supply-chain tools and cross-selling were cited as efficiency and growth supports.
  • Capital allocation remains focused on debt reduction, dividends and share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Expand Collegiate Hospitality, including programs at Division I stadiums and Howard University.
  • Complete the Entier catering acquisition and continue international expansion.
  • Deploy AI tools for supply-chain contract management and menu planning while maintaining disciplined capex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ARMK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.35 Q1 '24 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.27 Q2 '24 actual $0.29, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.30 Q3 '24 actual $0.31, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.40 Q3 '25 actual $0.40, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.64 Q4 '25 actual $0.64, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.50 Q1 '26 actual $0.51, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.47 Q2 '26 actual $0.49, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.48 Q3 '26 actual $0.52, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.74 Q1 '27 estimate $0.64 Q2 '27 estimate $0.61 Q3 '27 estimate $0.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2187.5%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish14.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.45Current
$33Low
$56.7Average
$74High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$60.23 +26.2%Aug 19, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$70$60.35 +26.2%Aug 13, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$70$61.24 +26.2%Aug 12, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$74$60.46 +33.5%Aug 12, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$70$60.45 +26.2%Aug 12, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Aramark, established in 1959, provides a comprehensive array of services encompassing food management, facility solutions, and uniform provision. The company serves a diverse global clientele, including educational institutions, healthcare providers, various businesses and industrial clients, sports and entertainment venues, leisure operators, and correctional facilities, both within the United States and internationally. Aramark organizes its operations into three primary divisions: U.S. Food and Support Services, International Food and Support Services, and Uniform and Career Apparel. Its extensive food-related offerings feature managed dining programs, catering solutions, food service management, and convenience retail options. This includes operating on-site restaurants, providing executive dining experiences, managing convenience stores, and offering beverage and vending services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T00:00:42.735581+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T00:00:42.732603+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.