AppLovin Corporation · APP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

AppLovin Q2: Growth held up as model gains lagged

AppLovin’s Q2 showed strong growth, cash generation and continued consumer-vertical momentum, but the investment case now depends more clearly on whether model improvements and new advertiser channels convert into sustained growth without undermining margins.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $110.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.76 Consensus $3.76
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.92B Consensus $1.94B
Revenue surprise -0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -23.6% Up to 20 sessions
APPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q1, Q2 showed continued strong growth but a lower-than-expected model-performance uplift and a slight revenue shortfall versus guidance. Management shifted emphasis toward new Q3 model upgrades, compute investment, mid-market partnerships and expansion beyond gaming.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management expects new model improvements to support Q3 performance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue reached $1.92 billion, up 53% year over year, but was slightly below guidance.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $1.61 billion, up 58% year over year, with margins above 80%.
  • Model-performance uplift lagged in Q2; new improvements were live for Q3.
  • The consumer vertical grew 28% year over year, while free cash flow was $863 million.
  • The SEC inquiry closed voluntarily with no recommended action.

Management priorities

  • Deploy additional model upgrades in Q3 and beyond.
  • Scale the consumer vertical and mid-market advertiser base.
  • Expand partnerships with analytics and attribution providers.
  • Invest in compute infrastructure and architectural enhancements.
  • Explore supply expansion into non-gaming apps and eventually connected TV.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $974M Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, match Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish2177.8%
Neutral518.5%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$325.42Current
$14Low
$421.53Average
$860High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 1, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $325.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$450$323.96 +38.3%Sep 14, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$396$320.56 +21.7%Sep 8, 2026
Evercore ISIRobert Coolbrith$510$312.06 +56.7%Sep 1, 2026
NeedhamBernie McTernan$475$310.54 +46.0%Aug 26, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$325$308.77 -0.1%Aug 21, 2026
See 103 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

AppLovin Corporation provides a specialized software platform focused on empowering mobile application developers to enhance the marketing and revenue generation of their products. With operations spanning the United States and international markets, the company assists mobile app developers worldwide. Among its core software offerings is AppDiscovery, a marketing solution that intelligently connects advertiser demand with publisher supply through an auction-based model. Another key product is Adjust, an analytics platform that enables marketers to scale their mobile apps by offering capabilities for performance measurement, campaign optimization, and user data protection. Additionally, MAX is an in-app bidding software engineered to maximize the value derived from an app's advertising inventory by facilitating real-time competitive auctions. Its client base is broad, serving advertisers, publishers, internet platforms, and other stakeholders. Founded in 2011, the enterprise maintains its headquarters in Palo Alto, California.

Historical context

All APP earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T01:13:33.315026+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T16:00:52.487887+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T16:00:52.485150+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.