AppLovin Corporation · APP · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

AppLovin: Strong growth, sharper focus on advertising

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: strong reported growth, high profitability, and continued Axon-led product development provide evidence of demand and execution. The case remains conditional on converting web advertising and self-service initiatives into durable growth while managing competition, tariffs, and regulatory uncertainty.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $93.07B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.45
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.38B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +11.9% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +11.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +23.1% Up to 20 sessions
APPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the games-business transaction had advanced to a definitive agreement, while management emphasized an advertising-only focus. The self-service dashboard and web advertising rollout became more immediate execution priorities, alongside generative ad creative.

Guidance delta

Maintained; advertising sequential growth was expected in the 20–30% range.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes Q1 revenue up 40% year over year to $1.5 billion, with a 68% adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • AppLovin is selling its games business and concentrating on its advertising platform.
  • Self-service onboarding, Axon model improvements, web advertising, and generative ad creative are central growth initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Complete the games-business divestiture
  • Roll out the self-service dashboard to advertisers
  • Advance Axon model releases, web advertising reach, and generative ad-creation tools

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.57 Q1 '24 actual $0.67, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.75 Q2 '24 actual $0.89, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.92 Q3 '24 actual $1.25, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.96 Q2 '25 actual $2.26, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.38 Q3 '25 actual $2.45, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.95 Q4 '25 actual $3.24, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.44 Q1 '26 actual $3.56, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.76 Q2 '26 actual $3.76, match Q3 '26 estimate $4.04 Q4 '26 estimate $4.67 Q1 '27 estimate $4.84
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish2177.8%
Neutral518.5%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$277.04Current
$14Low
$413.17Average
$810High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 1, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $277.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesJames Heaney$375$274.83 +35.4%Oct 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$450$323.96 +62.4%Sep 14, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$396$320.56 +42.9%Sep 8, 2026
Evercore ISIRobert Coolbrith$510$312.06 +84.1%Sep 1, 2026
NeedhamBernie McTernan$475$310.54 +71.5%Aug 26, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

AppLovin Corporation provides a specialized software platform focused on empowering mobile application developers to enhance the marketing and revenue generation of their products. With operations spanning the United States and international markets, the company assists mobile app developers worldwide. Among its core software offerings is AppDiscovery, a marketing solution that intelligently connects advertiser demand with publisher supply through an auction-based model. Another key product is Adjust, an analytics platform that enables marketers to scale their mobile apps by offering capabilities for performance measurement, campaign optimization, and user data protection. Additionally, MAX is an in-app bidding software engineered to maximize the value derived from an app's advertising inventory by facilitating real-time competitive auctions. Its client base is broad, serving advertisers, publishers, internet platforms, and other stakeholders. Founded in 2011, the enterprise maintains its headquarters in Palo Alto, California.

Historical context

All APP earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-23T00:02:08.365952+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T15:40:45.367357+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T15:40:45.364658+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.