Apollo Global Management, Inc. · APO · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Apollo posts record Q3 earnings; maintains 2027 growth outlook

Record FRE and SRE, capital formation and origination support Apollo’s growth outlook, while funding costs, regulation, valuation pressure and AI-credit uncertainty temper the case.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $70.55B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.19
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.79B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.4% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
APOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described record Q3 fee-related and spread-related earnings, a $114 billion origination pipeline and $53 billion of capital formation. It highlighted a strategic shift toward investment-grade credit and new liquidity, valuation and market-making capabilities for private assets.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2027 guidance for more than 20% FRE growth and approximately 10% SRE growth. The supplied analysis characterizes guidance as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 FRE and SRE were supported by origination and capital formation, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
  • The $114 billion origination pipeline was predominantly investment-grade debt (more than 80%), with activity spanning energy, infrastructure, sports and compute.
  • Management plans to invest $350 million over 24 months in data, CUSIP, market-making and custody capabilities.
  • Apollo is advancing AMAPS, ADL 3 and a European credit platform as it seeks to expand private-credit and liquidity offerings.

Management priorities

  • Build data, CUSIP, market-making and custody infrastructure over 24 months.
  • Expand AMAPS and develop its longer-term counterpart, APADS.
  • Roll out the ADL 3 direct-lending program and develop a European investment-grade credit platform.
  • Complete the pending minority investment in Mubadala Capital.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.73 Q4 '23 actual $1.91, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.78 Q1 '24 actual $1.72, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.76 Q2 '24 actual $1.64, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.73 Q3 '24 actual $1.81, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.84 Q2 '25 actual $1.92, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.90 Q3 '25 actual $2.14, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.04 Q4 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.89 Q1 '26 actual $1.94, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.16 Q2 '26 actual $2.11, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2.19 Q4 '26 estimate $2.45 Q1 '27 estimate $2.48
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish2382.1%
Neutral517.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.55Current
$48Low
$118.88Average
$188High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 27, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $113.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoDaniel Welden$127$114.34 +11.8%Oct 1, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$145$120.47 +27.7%Jul 20, 2026
RBC CapitalBart Dziarski$142$113.73 +25.1%Feb 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAlexander Bolstein$165$135.88 +45.3%Feb 9, 2026
UBSMichael Brown$186$149.06 +63.8%Dec 11, 2025
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Apollo Global Management, Inc. operates as a prominent investment management firm, primarily concentrating its efforts across credit, private equity, and real estate asset classes. Within its private equity division, Apollo engages in a broad spectrum of transactions, ranging from traditional management buyouts, recapitalizations, and distressed acquisitions to corporate carve-outs, growth capital infusions, turnaround financing, bridge loans, strategic acquisitions, and industry consolidation initiatives. This also includes debt investments in real estate and corporate partnerships, along with investments in distressed assets and special situations within the middle market. Its client base is diverse, encompassing sovereign wealth and endowment funds, as well as various other institutional and private investors. The firm constructs and oversees bespoke portfolios for clients and actively manages a suite of investment vehicles, including hedge funds, real estate funds, and private equity funds.…

Historical context

All APO earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
EQH-PA Equitable Holdings, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +14.5% — Equitable Holdings: EPS Growth, Corebridge Synergies in Focus
CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 -0.8% +2.5% Corebridge’s operating earnings grew, while revenue fell short of consensus

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-03T19:05:34.020530+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-03T01:23:13.143323+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T19:30:48.060741+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T19:30:48.058217+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.