Amgen Inc. · AMGN · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Amgen Beats Q1 Estimates, Raises 2026 Guidance as Growth Drivers Deliver

Amgen's Q1 2026 reflects a multi-product growth strategy gaining traction — six growth drivers now account for 70% of revenue, and management raised full-year guidance on both revenue and EPS. The EPS beat was more pronounced than the modest revenue beat, suggesting improving operating leverage. Raised guidance to $37.1–$38.5 billion revenue and $21.70–$23.10 EPS signals confidence in sustained momentum through 2026. Pipeline highlights include Meritide switch studies testing extended dosing intervals (8- and 12-week) that could differentiate Amgen in a crowded obesity market, and Imdeltra's advancement into frontline small-cell lung cancer settings through an FDA real-time trial pilot. Counterbalancing these positives, patent expirations and biosimilar erosion — particularly for Prolia/XGEVA — remain a structural overhang, and the stock's roughly 5% decline on the report suggests…

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $203.07B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.15 Consensus $4.77
EPS surprise +8.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.62B Consensus $8.58B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.7% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -5.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.2% Up to 20 sessions
AMGNSPY benchmark

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What changed

Q1 2026 product sales grew 4% year over year, with six growth drivers — Repatha, Evenity, Imdeltra, TEPEZZA, and others — contributing 70% of total revenue. Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $37.1–$38.5 billion and EPS to $21.70–$23.10. Capex is planned at $2.6 billion for the year, an increase reflecting manufacturing scale-up for upcoming launches. On the pipeline front, Meritide Phase III switch studies will evaluate 8-week and 12-week dosing versus weekly GLP-1 injectables, Imdeltra advanced into frontline and maintenance settings for small-cell lung cancer, and AI-driven manufacturing automation reduced line clearance time from approximately 30 minutes to roughly 2 minutes per batch.

Guidance delta

Management raised its full-year 2026 outlook: revenue to $37.1–$38.5 billion and EPS to $21.70–$23.10. Guidance sentiment was characterized as raised and management tone as confident. Capex is set at $2.6 billion, up from prior levels, reflecting investment in manufacturing capacity for forthcoming product launches. Prior-quarter guidance figures were not available for direct comparison.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 sales grew 4% with six growth drivers delivering 70% of total revenue.
  • Repatha continues strong growth, with additional primary-prevention market opportunity following guideline updates.
  • Meritide shows promising less-frequent dosing (8- and 12-week intervals) and improved GI tolerability in early studies.
  • Imdeltra is now standard of care in second-line small-cell lung cancer and advancing into frontline indications.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance raised: revenue to $37.1–$38.5 billion, EPS to $21.70–$23.10, with $2.6 billion capex planned.

Management priorities

  • Seek regulatory approval for Meritide with launch planned for later in 2026.
  • Global rollout of TEPEZZA following the Japan launch.
  • Advance Imdeltra into frontline and maintenance settings for small-cell lung cancer.
  • Scale AI-enabled drug discovery and manufacturing across the enterprise.
  • Expand Amgen Now cash-pay access model and evaluate international opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMGN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.88 Q1 '24 actual $3.96, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.98 Q2 '24 actual $4.97, match Q3 '24 estimate $5.11 Q3 '24 actual $5.58, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5.28 Q2 '25 actual $6.02, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5.02 Q3 '25 actual $5.64, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.73 Q4 '25 actual $5.29, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.77 Q1 '26 actual $5.15, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.62 Q2 '26 actual $6.29, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5.79 Q4 '26 estimate $5.77 Q1 '27 estimate $5.42
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish2253.7%
Neutral1639.0%
Bearish37.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$444.63Current
$182Low
$353.2Average
$500High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $444.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$480$447.28 +8.0%Oct 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$400$438.94 -10.0%Oct 21, 2026
GuggenheimVamil Divan$378$417.57 -15.0%Oct 13, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$415$415.8 -6.7%Oct 12, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$430$414.87 -3.3%Oct 12, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amgen Inc., established in 1980 and headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, is a global biotechnology leader focused on discovering, developing, manufacturing, and delivering groundbreaking human medicines. The company's scientific endeavors span several critical therapeutic categories, including inflammatory conditions, oncology and hematology, bone health, cardiovascular diseases, nephrology, and neuroscience. Its extensive portfolio features a range of significant pharmaceutical products. Notable examples include Enbrel, prescribed for conditions like plaque psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and psoriatic arthritis; Neulasta, which helps cancer patients by reducing the risk of infection linked to a low white blood cell count; Prolia, utilized in postmenopausal women to combat osteoporosis; and Xgeva, designed to prevent skeletal-related complications. Otezla offers relief for adult patients suffering from plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, and oral ulcers associated with Behçet's disease.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T13:11:06.734976+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T13:11:06.732148+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.