Amcor plc · AMCR · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Amcor: Berry synergies advance as North American demand stays soft

The current analysis supports a measured view: Berry-related synergies and portfolio mix improvement provide an earnings-growth path, but weak North American demand and execution risk temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $19.78B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.18
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.47B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.3% Up to 20 sessions
AMCRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The Berry Global merger has closed and management is moving from transaction planning to synergy delivery. Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis adds evidence of flat overall volumes, a high-single-digit North American decline, and a more specific Q4 EPS range while FY2025 guidance remains maintained.

Guidance delta

FY2025 earnings guidance was maintained, while Q4 EPS guidance was narrowed to $0.72-$0.74.

Key takeaways

  • The Berry Global merger closed early and is now the central execution driver.
  • Overall Q3 volumes were flat, with North America down by a high-single-digit rate.
  • Management maintained FY2025 guidance but narrowed the Q4 EPS outlook.
  • The thesis depends on converting identified synergies while managing weak demand and leverage.

Management priorities

  • Deliver the identified Berry Global synergies.
  • Refine the portfolio toward higher-margin segments.
  • Use expanded R&D to develop sustainable, higher-value packaging.
  • Manage leverage, cash flow, dividends, and potential strategic acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMCR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $4B Q4 '24 actual $4B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, match Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $5B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 actual $6B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q3 '27 estimate $6B Q4 '27 estimate $6B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold14 ratings
Bullish857.1%
Neutral535.7%
Bearish17.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$42.46Current
$43Low
$52.78Average
$82.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJul 22, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 17, 2026
Show 9 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $42.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$51$46.2 +20.1%Aug 18, 2026
UBSNathan Reilly$56$47.11 +31.9%Aug 11, 2026
JefferiesRamoun Lazar$44.92$43.44 +5.8%Jul 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$47$44.84 +10.7%Jul 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$43$42.78 +1.3%Jul 15, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amcor plc stands as a prominent global provider of packaging solutions, focusing on the creation, production, and distribution of its diverse product portfolio across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging. The Flexibles division specializes in offering advanced flexible and film packaging solutions, catering to a wide array of industries including food and beverages, medical and pharmaceutical sectors, fresh produce, snack foods, and personal care items.…

Historical context

All AMCR earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-29T11:57:30.542273+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T01:21:01.073459+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T01:21:01.070698+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.