Amcor plc · AMCR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2024

Amcor reaffirms outlook as volumes improve outside weak segments

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: improving volumes, commercial execution and sustainable-packaging initiatives provide evidence for continued progress, but healthcare destocking, consumer demand and leverage leave the growth case dependent on execution.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $19.08B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.16 Consensus $0.16
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.35B Consensus $3.36B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.0% Up to 20 sessions
AMCRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management continued to emphasize volume recovery and sustainable packaging, while adding a stronger focus on commercial excellence, innovation centers, organizational accountability and debt reduction through the Bericap divestiture.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its full-year adjusted EPS outlook; no change was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management described improving overall volumes, with stronger performance when weak healthcare and beverage areas are excluded.
  • The full-year adjusted EPS outlook was reaffirmed.
  • Sustainable packaging platforms are gaining traction, while commercial excellence and innovation centers remain central to the growth plan.
  • Proceeds from the Bericap joint-venture sale are intended to reduce debt and support strategic investments.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate organic volume growth through commercial excellence and product leverage.
  • Expand sustainable packaging offerings and related innovation.
  • Use innovation centers to co-develop products with customers.
  • Pursue growth in dairy and liquid applications, particularly in North America.
  • Reduce debt while supporting selected strategic investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMCR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.15 Q2 '24 actual $0.16, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.16 Q3 '24 actual $0.18, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.20 Q4 '24 actual $0.21, match Q1 '25 estimate $0.16 Q1 '25 actual $0.16, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.21 Q4 '25 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.93 Q1 '26 actual $0.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.83 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.19 Q4 '26 actual $1.23, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.96 Q2 '27 estimate $1.20 Q3 '27 estimate $1.08 Q4 '27 estimate $1.09

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold14 ratings
Bullish857.1%
Neutral535.7%
Bearish17.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.72Current
$43Low
$52.78Average
$82.5High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 17, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJul 22, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 17, 2026
Show 9 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$51$46.2 +22.2%Aug 18, 2026
UBSNathan Reilly$56$47.11 +34.2%Aug 11, 2026
JefferiesRamoun Lazar$44.92$43.44 +7.7%Jul 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$47$44.84 +12.7%Jul 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$43$42.78 +3.1%Jul 15, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amcor plc stands as a prominent global provider of packaging solutions, focusing on the creation, production, and distribution of its diverse product portfolio across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging. The Flexibles division specializes in offering advanced flexible and film packaging solutions, catering to a wide array of industries including food and beverages, medical and pharmaceutical sectors, fresh produce, snack foods, and personal care items.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T23:00:45.059637+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T23:00:45.055962+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.