Applied Materials, Inc. · AMAT · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2025

Applied Materials: AI Demand Offsets China and Utilization Risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI-related logic, memory, and advanced-packaging demand are important growth drivers, while China restrictions, utilization weakness, and cyclical spending remain material offsets.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $428.77B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.31
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.12B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.3% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -5.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
AMATSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis emphasizes record earnings and historic gross-margin strength, with growth led by leading-edge logic and DRAM. It also adds clearer pressure points around China restrictions, weaker-than-expected 200-mm utilization, tariffs, and the timing of advanced-packaging investments.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis cites a Q3 revenue outlook of about $7.2 billion plus or minus $0.5 billion and EPS growth of about 11% year over year.

Key takeaways

  • Management described demand led by AI-related logic, DRAM, HBM, and advanced packaging.
  • Core services growth helped offset China-related restrictions and weaker 200-mm utilization.
  • The company is advancing EPIC Center, hybrid bonding, and gate-all-around and backside-power solutions.

Management priorities

  • Expand advanced packaging and hybrid bonding capabilities.
  • Use the EPIC Center for customer co-innovation and research.
  • Develop equipment for logic, DRAM, HBM, NAND, and gate-all-around technology.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMAT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.91 Q1 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.99 Q2 '24 actual $2.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.02 Q3 '24 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.11 Q4 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.21 Q1 '26 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.68 Q2 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q3 '26 actual $3.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.06 Q1 '27 estimate $4.21 Q2 '27 estimate $4.52 Q3 '27 estimate $4.87
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy54 ratings
Bullish4277.8%
Neutral1222.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$538.68Current
$85Low
$419.87Average
$900High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 28, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 49 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $538.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$563$479.74 +4.5%Sep 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$695$458.39 +29.0%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$590$484.19 +9.5%Aug 25, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$600$507.69 +11.4%Aug 18, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$850$505.2 +57.8%Aug 14, 2026
See 184 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes designing, development, manufacturing and sale of equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips referred to as integrated circuits. The AGS segment engages in provision of services, spares, and factory automation software to customer fabrication plants globally. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Historical context

All AMAT earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-01T00:01:56.155314+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T17:20:42.815088+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T17:20:42.812186+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.