Applied Materials, Inc. · AMAT · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2024

Applied Materials: AI demand lifts outlook, China mix stabilizes

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional outlook: AI, advanced packaging and services growth support momentum, while China exposure, margins and ICAPS demand remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $341.25B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.19
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.95B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -9.2% Event window
SPY move -1.3% Same window
Abnormal move -7.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.3% Up to 20 sessions
AMATSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis says management raised the outlook, highlighting about 7% year-over-year revenue growth and higher non-GAAP EPS for fiscal Q1 2025. It also emphasizes continued EPIC investment, expanding integrated solutions and stabilizing China mix.

Guidance delta

Raised: the supplied analysis describes fiscal Q1 2025 guidance as about 7% year-over-year revenue growth with higher non-GAAP EPS.

Key takeaways

  • AI and energy-efficient computing demand remain the main growth drivers in the supplied analysis.
  • Integrated solutions represent about 30% of Semiconductor Systems revenue and are expanding.
  • Services growth and renewal rates provide recurring-revenue support.
  • China sales mix is described as stabilizing near 30%, but remains a risk factor.
  • The EPIC Center and advanced packaging initiatives support the longer-term product roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Bring the Silicon Valley EPIC Center online in 2026.
  • Expand integrated system offerings and advanced packaging capabilities.
  • Grow service agreements and extend contract tenures.
  • Develop gate-all-around, HBM, and heterogeneous-integration solutions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMAT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.91 Q1 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.99 Q2 '24 actual $2.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.02 Q3 '24 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.11 Q4 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.21 Q1 '26 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.68 Q2 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q3 '26 actual $3.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.06 Q1 '27 estimate $4.22 Q2 '27 estimate $4.52 Q3 '27 estimate $4.87
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy54 ratings
Bullish4277.8%
Neutral1222.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$430.01Previous close
$85Low
$426.78Average
$900High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 28, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Show 49 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $430.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$590$422.93 +37.2%Oct 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$563$479.74 +30.9%Sep 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$695$458.39 +61.6%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$590$484.19 +37.2%Aug 25, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$600$507.69 +39.5%Aug 18, 2026
See 185 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes designing, development, manufacturing and sale of equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips referred to as integrated circuits. The AGS segment engages in provision of services, spares, and factory automation software to customer fabrication plants globally. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Historical context

All AMAT earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:39:04.055137+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T07:20:44.693333+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T07:20:44.690640+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.