Applied Materials, Inc. · AMAT · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2024

Applied Materials: AI Demand Lifts Results as China Mix Declines

Applied Materials' current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI-related demand, services growth, and investments in gate-all-around and advanced packaging provide support, while China exposure and broader semiconductor-capex uncertainty remain material constraints.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $324.81B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.12 Consensus $2.02
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.77B Consensus $6.68B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.8% Up to 20 sessions
AMATSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shifted from a maintained outlook with China DRAM weakness expected in the second half to record Q3 results with China at 32% of revenue and near-term mix expected around 30%. Management added emphasis on the $4 billion EPIC center, while advanced packaging and HBM remained central growth areas.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; Q4 revenue guidance was $6.93 billion and EPS guidance was $2.18.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 results were driven by AI-related demand across logic, DRAM, HBM, and advanced packaging.
  • China represented 32% of revenue and management expected the mix to remain around 30% in the near term.
  • Services grew 8% year over year, while management maintained its Q4 outlook.

Management priorities

  • Build out the $4 billion EPIC innovation center and expand customer co-innovation.
  • Increase exposure to gate-all-around, DRAM, HBM, and advanced-packaging equipment.
  • Expand integrated fab-in-a-fab solutions and ICAPS products for power, sensors, and automotive applications.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMAT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.00 Q4 '23 actual $2.12, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.91 Q1 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.99 Q2 '24 actual $2.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.02 Q3 '24 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.11 Q4 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.21 Q1 '26 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.68 Q2 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q3 '26 actual $3.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.06 Q1 '27 estimate $4.22 Q2 '27 estimate $4.52 Q3 '27 estimate $4.87
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy54 ratings
Bullish4277.8%
Neutral1222.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$409.29Current
$85Low
$426.78Average
$900High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 28, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Show 49 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $409.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$590$422.93 +44.2%Oct 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$563$479.74 +37.6%Sep 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$695$458.39 +69.8%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$590$484.19 +44.2%Aug 25, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$600$507.69 +46.6%Aug 18, 2026
See 185 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes designing, development, manufacturing and sale of equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips referred to as integrated circuits. The AGS segment engages in provision of services, spares, and factory automation software to customer fabrication plants globally. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Historical context

All AMAT earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T04:30:42.431910+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T04:30:42.429015+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.