The Allstate Corporation · ALL · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Allstate pairs strong underwriting with retention and execution questions

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: stronger underwriting, new-business growth and product expansion are positives, but retention pressure and execution risks temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $64.02B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.91 Consensus $2.36
EPS surprise +65.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $16.63B Consensus $14.57B
Revenue surprise +14.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +11.2% Up to 20 sessions
ALLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shows stronger reported underwriting and new-business momentum, while retention pressure from rate increases remains unresolved. Management also shifted capital-allocation emphasis toward organic growth and strategic acquisitions rather than buybacks.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided in the supplied analysis; the main change was continued emphasis on growth investments and product rollouts.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 14.7% year-over-year revenue growth to $16.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $3.91.
  • Auto and homeowners underwriting improved, while retention remained pressured by recent rate increases.
  • New business grew 26% across channels as advertising investment increased and digital initiatives expanded.
  • The company is prioritizing organic growth, ASC product rollouts and strategic acquisitions over share buybacks.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Affordable Simple Connected auto and homeowners products.
  • Expand Custom360 and invest in claims capabilities and customer experience.
  • Pursue organic growth and selective acquisitions while completing the EVB sale.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.94 Q1 '24 actual $5.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.28 Q2 '24 actual $1.61, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.36 Q3 '24 actual $3.91, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.25 Q2 '25 actual $5.94, beat Q3 '25 estimate $7.67 Q3 '25 actual $11.17, beat Q4 '25 estimate $9.83 Q4 '25 actual $14.31, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7.31 Q1 '26 actual $10.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6.06 Q2 '26 actual $8.99, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.89 Q4 '26 estimate $8.65 Q1 '27 estimate $7.53
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1840.0%
Neutral2453.3%
Bearish36.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$253.19Current
$119Low
$238.16Average
$319High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 12, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $253.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$236$229.43 -6.8%Oct 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$295$224.27 +16.5%Oct 7, 2026
BarclaysAlex Scott$221$224.27 -12.7%Oct 7, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$266$224.27 +5.1%Oct 7, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$250$221.86 -1.3%Oct 1, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Allstate Corporation, along with its affiliated entities, provides a comprehensive suite of property, casualty, and other insurance offerings throughout the United States and Canada. The company's operations are structured across four primary business segments: Allstate Protection; Protection Services; Allstate Health and Benefits; and Run-off Property-Liability. The Allstate Protection segment delivers a wide array of personal and commercial insurance solutions. This includes standard private passenger auto and homeowners policies, as well as specialized vehicle coverage for motorcycles, trailers, motor homes, and off-road vehicles. Additional personal lines encompass renter, condominium, landlord, boat, umbrella, manufactured home, and stand-alone scheduled personal property policies. Commercial lines products are also available, marketed under the Allstate and Encompass brand names. The Protection Services division focuses on consumer protection and related financial services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T13:50:40.346841+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T13:50:40.343921+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.