Align Technology, Inc. · ALGN · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Align lowers 2026 guidance as consumer demand softens

The quarter provides mixed evidence for a durable growth case: record Clear Aligner shipments and multiple product and workflow initiatives support demand, while lower Q4 and FY2026 guidance, softer consumers, and ASP pressure argue for caution.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $10.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.80 Consensus $2.77
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.01B Consensus $1.00B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
ALGNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, the outlook weakened: guidance sentiment moved from maintained to lowered, Q3 Systems & Services revenue remained pressured by scanner mix and flexible acquisition models, and management added a CEO succession plan plus new NXT and Sports Guard initiatives.

Guidance delta

Management lowered Q4 and full-year 2026 guidance, citing softer consumer demand and ASP pressure.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue was $1.015 billion, with record Clear Aligner shipments.
  • Systems & Services revenue declined as scanner mix shifted toward lower-priced configurations and flexible acquisition models.
  • Management highlighted utilization, financing, digital workflows, and younger patients as growth levers.
  • NXT 3D printing, Invisalign Sports Guard, and ART expand the product roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Increase utilization among orthodontists, DSOs, and GP dentists.
  • Expand iTero through leasing, rentals, and certified pre-owned models.
  • Execute the CEO transition and complete the strategic and operating model review.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALGN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $933M Q4 '23 actual $957M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $975M Q1 '24 actual $997M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $978M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $976M Q3 '25 actual $996M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2266.7%
Neutral927.3%
Bearish26.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$153.62Previous close
$140Low
$284.72Average
$790High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 22, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 15, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $153.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$205$150.5 +33.4%Oct 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$162$144.44 +5.5%Oct 15, 2026
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$215$143.14 +40.0%Oct 14, 2026
Stifel NicolausJonathan Block$175$141.03 +13.9%Oct 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$189$166.86 +23.0%Jul 23, 2026
See 47 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Align Technology, Inc. is a medical technology enterprise that develops, produces, and markets its leading products: Invisalign transparent dental aligners and iTero digital intraoral scanners, along with related services. These offerings serve a wide range of dental professionals, including orthodontists, general dentists, and those specializing in restorative and cosmetic dentistry. The company's operations are divided into two main business units: "Clear Aligner" and "Scanners and Services." The Clear Aligner segment offers a variety of solutions. Its comprehensive products include the full Invisalign treatment for teenage patients, designed to address complex orthodontic needs such as mandibular advancement, patient compliance tracking, and managing tooth eruption. It also features specialized Invisalign First Phase I and Phase 2 packages for younger children, typically aged seven to ten, who have mixed dentition (a combination of primary and permanent teeth).…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T04:06:17.863421+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-29T01:23:20.584741+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-29T13:10:41.118419+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-29T13:10:41.115624+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.