Alcon Inc. · ALC · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Alcon Maintains FY2025 Outlook as New Products Target Growth

Alcon's maintained FY2025 outlook and product pipeline support a constructive growth case, but U.S. competitive pressure, pricing, and launch execution remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare $31.99B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.79
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
ALCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts from the prior quarter's lowered guidance to a maintained FY2025 outlook, while adding a broader product-launch slate and highlighting stronger international growth alongside sharper U.S. competitive pressure.

Guidance delta

Maintained versus the prior outlook; FY2025 revenue is projected at $10.2-$10.4 billion, operating margin at 21%-22%, and diluted EPS at $3.15-$3.25.

Key takeaways

  • Management described solid 2024 performance, with 6% sales growth, 16% EPS expansion, and record free cash flow.
  • New products including UNITY VCS, PanOptix Pro, Voyager, and PRECISION7 are intended to support growth, particularly in the second half of 2025.
  • International demand, especially in China and emerging Asian markets, remains a key growth driver while U.S. competition is a headwind.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale UNITY VCS, PanOptix Pro, Voyager, and PRECISION7.
  • Expand international demand, including China VBP and emerging Asian markets.
  • Advance AR-512 and other pipeline products through regulatory and commercial milestones.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.68 Q4 '23 actual $0.69, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.72 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.74 Q2 '24 actual $0.74, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.71 Q2 '25 actual $0.76, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.77 Q3 '25 actual $0.79, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.79 Q4 '25 actual $0.78, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.80 Q1 '26 actual $0.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.77 Q2 '26 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.89 Q4 '26 estimate $0.93 Q1 '27 estimate $1.01 Q2 '27 estimate $0.98
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish1453.8%
Neutral1038.5%
Bearish27.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$66.18Current
$35Low
$87.31Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $66.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$74$64.14 +11.8%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysChristopher Pasquale$70$63.19 +5.8%Oct 6, 2026
JefferiesMichael Sarcone$85$65.34 +28.4%Sep 22, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$79$73.58 +19.4%Aug 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$35$72.87 -47.1%Aug 12, 2026
See 43 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Alcon Inc. researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells eye care products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Surgical and Vision Care. It offers equipment, instrumentation and diagnostics, intraocular lenses (IOLs), and other implantables; and consumables, including viscoelastics, surgical solutions, incisional instruments, surgical custom packs, and other products for surgical procedures. The company’s cataract products include Unity CS, LenSx laser system, Verion reference unit and Verion digital marker, ARGOS biometer, SMARTCATARACT health platform, NGENUITY 3D visualization system, LuxOR surgical ophthalmic microscope, and ORA system for intra-operative measurements; ADI cloud-based platform; and implantable products, including monofocal, Toric, and Presbyopia-Correcting IOLs, as well as delivery systems, such as…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-11T00:01:39.744939+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T03:40:42.593470+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T03:40:42.590673+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.