Assurant, Inc. · AIZ · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Assurant raises outlook as housing and lifestyle momentum continues

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Assurant's growth and raised outlook are backed by housing, lifestyle, and partnership momentum, while the durability of homeowners and auto trends and execution on 2026 initiatives remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $13.06B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.73 Consensus $4.39
EPS surprise +30.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.23B Consensus $3.19B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.7% Up to 20 sessions
AIZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management added more detail on 2026 growth: a large mobile-carrier logistics agreement, a Best Buy Geek Squad partnership, and an adjacent-business launch. The company also reiterated acquisition, AI, and shareholder-return priorities.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance again, extending the prior quarter's positive outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Double-digit adjusted EPS and EBITDA growth supported another full-year guidance raise.
  • Policy growth and partnership momentum remained central to performance in Global Housing and Global Lifestyle.
  • Reverse logistics, Best Buy Geek Squad services, and a new adjacent-business program are positioned as 2026 growth initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Expand Connected Living, reverse logistics, and device-care capabilities
  • Invest in AI, automation, robotics, and new products
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions while maintaining shareholder returns

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AIZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.70 Q4 '23 actual $4.58, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3.87 Q1 '24 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.62 Q2 '24 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.52 Q3 '24 actual $3.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.43 Q2 '25 actual $5.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.39 Q3 '25 actual $5.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.55 Q4 '25 actual $5.61, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.29 Q1 '26 actual $5.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.17 Q2 '26 actual $6.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.52 Q4 '26 estimate $5.49 Q1 '27 estimate $6.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy19 ratings
Bullish1157.9%
Neutral736.8%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$264.12Current
$205Low
$292.45Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $264.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalCharlie Lederer$320$285.88 +21.2%Aug 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$320$280.07 +21.2%Aug 19, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$331$283.42 +25.3%Aug 13, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$329$295.66 +24.6%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMark Hughes$355$297.7 +34.4%Aug 6, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Assurant, Inc. operates globally, delivering essential lifestyle and housing solutions designed to secure, assist, and connect consumer acquisitions across diverse markets including North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. The Global Lifestyle segment provides comprehensive mobile device support, extended warranty and maintenance programs for mobile devices, consumer electronics, and appliances, as well as vehicle protection plans and associated services, alongside credit…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T16:06:09.521084+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T16:06:09.517975+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.