American Electric Power Company, Inc. · AEP · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

AEP raises long-term growth target on $100 billion capital plan

AEP’s latest call supports a constructive growth case: management paired stronger long-term EPS targets with a larger capital plan, contracted large-load demand, and transmission and generation projects. The evidence is positive but depends on execution, regulation, affordability, and financing.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $70.93B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.05
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.55B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
AEPSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, AEP introduced a $100 billion five-year capital plan and a 9–11% annual EPS growth target for 2027–2031. The company also highlighted a 20-year Google power purchase agreement for the Wyoming fuel-cell project and an early-stage SMR partnership with XEnergy and Amazon.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed 2026 earnings at the high end of guidance and raised its long-term EPS growth target to 9–11% for 2027–2031.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported strong Q3 results and reaffirmed 2026 earnings at the high end of guidance.
  • A new $100 billion five-year capital plan is intended to nearly double the rate base by 2031.
  • Transmission, large-load contracts, and generation projects are the main growth engines.
  • Management highlighted affordability measures, including take-or-pay contracts, alongside demand growth from data centers and manufacturing.

Management priorities

  • Execute the expanded transmission and generation investment plan.
  • Advance the Wyoming fuel-cell project, including its Google power purchase agreement.
  • Develop 765 kV transmission projects and pursue additional Texas opportunities.
  • Maintain regulatory cost recovery and affordability through contracted load.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AEP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $5B, match Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $5B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2365.7%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$128.92Current
$81Low
$126.21Average
$147High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
BTIG Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 19, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 19, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $128.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$146$129.14 +13.2%Oct 22, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$145$128.88 +12.5%Oct 22, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$145.9$127.39 +13.2%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$130$127.71 +0.8%Oct 21, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$147$124.72 +14.0%Oct 20, 2026
See 78 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) operates as a prominent electric utility holding company, with its core business encompassing the generation, transmission, and delivery of electricity. Serving both retail and wholesale clients across the United States, AEP organizes its extensive operations into several key segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing. The firm produces its electrical power from a diverse portfolio of energy sources, including coal, lignite, natural gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, solar, and wind power, alongside other emerging technologies. Beyond direct consumer sales, AEP also functions as a major wholesale electricity supplier, providing power to other utility companies, rural electric cooperatives, municipalities, and various other participants within the energy market. Incorporated in 1906, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Columbus, Ohio.

Historical context

All AEP earnings

Utilities peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-28T16:04:47.214514+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-28T01:23:13.546025+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T16:50:42.022324+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T16:50:42.019547+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.