American Electric Power Company, Inc. · AEP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

AEP raises 2026 guidance as contracted load and capex plans expand

AEP’s raised guidance, contracted-load pipeline, and expanded capital plan strengthen the growth case, but the thesis depends on converting demand into financed, permitted, and executable projects.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $65.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.36 Consensus $1.48
EPS surprise -8.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.45B Consensus $5.34B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
AEPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, AEP raised 2026 EPS guidance, reported 69 GW of contracted load additions through 2030, and maintained the $78 billion five-year capital plan. Management also highlighted approximately $5 billion of DOE loan guarantees and $400 million of grants, while advancing turbine, transmission, and fuel-cell projects.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 EPS guidance to $6.25-$6.55 per share from the prior quarter’s $6.15-$6.45 range.

Key takeaways

  • AEP raised full-year 2026 EPS guidance and highlighted 69 GW of contracted load additions through 2030.
  • The $78 billion five-year capital plan is focused on transmission, generation, and infrastructure for large-load customers.
  • DOE financing and regulatory settlements support cost recovery, while project timing and customer concentration remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance large-load contracts, tariffs, and interconnection processes.
  • Execute the $78 billion capital plan, including transmission, generation, and the Wyoming fuel-cell project.
  • Procure turbine capacity and evaluate additional generation and GenCo structures.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AEP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $5B, match Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $5B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $5B Q3 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2163.6%
Neutral1236.4%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.05Current
$81Low
$124.8Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 3, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$139$120.46 +17.7%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$135$124.3 +14.4%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$139$125.6 +17.7%Aug 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$129$127.85 +9.3%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$139$132.36 +17.7%Jul 22, 2026
See 70 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) operates as a prominent electric utility holding company, with its core business encompassing the generation, transmission, and delivery of electricity. Serving both retail and wholesale clients across the United States, AEP organizes its extensive operations into several key segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing. The firm produces its electrical power from a diverse portfolio of energy sources, including coal, lignite, natural gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, solar, and wind power, alongside other emerging technologies. Beyond direct consumer sales, AEP also functions as a major wholesale electricity supplier, providing power to other utility companies, rural electric cooperatives, municipalities, and various other participants within the energy market. Incorporated in 1906, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Columbus, Ohio.

Historical context

All AEP earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:11:08.246853+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T14:22:01.140445+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T14:22:01.137539+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.