American Electric Power Company, Inc. · AEP · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

AEP raises 2026 guidance as contracted load and capex plans expand

AEP’s raised guidance, contracted-load pipeline, and expanded capital plan strengthen the growth case, but the thesis depends on converting demand into financed, permitted, and executable projects.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $65.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.36 Consensus $1.48
EPS surprise -8.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.45B Consensus $5.34B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
AEPSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about AEP FY2026 Q2

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, AEP raised 2026 EPS guidance, reported 69 GW of contracted load additions through 2030, and maintained the $78 billion five-year capital plan. Management also highlighted approximately $5 billion of DOE loan guarantees and $400 million of grants, while advancing turbine, transmission, and fuel-cell projects.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 EPS guidance to $6.25-$6.55 per share from the prior quarter’s $6.15-$6.45 range.

Key takeaways

  • AEP raised full-year 2026 EPS guidance and highlighted 69 GW of contracted load additions through 2030.
  • The $78 billion five-year capital plan is focused on transmission, generation, and infrastructure for large-load customers.
  • DOE financing and regulatory settlements support cost recovery, while project timing and customer concentration remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance large-load contracts, tariffs, and interconnection processes.
  • Execute the $78 billion capital plan, including transmission, generation, and the Wyoming fuel-cell project.
  • Procure turbine capacity and evaluate additional generation and GenCo structures.

Follow AEP with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AEP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.25 Q1 '24 actual $1.27, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.23 Q2 '24 actual $1.25, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.80 Q3 '24 actual $1.85, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.27 Q2 '25 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.81 Q3 '25 actual $1.80, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.15 Q4 '25 actual $1.19, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.57 Q1 '26 actual $1.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.48 Q2 '26 actual $1.36, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2.01 Q4 '26 estimate $1.26 Q1 '27 estimate $1.72
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2163.6%
Neutral1236.4%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$118.05Current
$81Low
$124.8Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 3, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2026
Ladenburg Thalmann Buy BuyMaintainJun 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 6, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 6, 2026
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 20, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 5, 2026
UBS Neutral SellUpgradeFeb 27, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeFeb 13, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeNov 17, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 3, 2024
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainFeb 27, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 16, 2022
Edward Jones Buy BuyMaintainMar 11, 2021
KeyBanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 12, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainFeb 21, 2020
Scotia Howard Weil Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 24, 2018
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 24, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 24, 2018
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeJan 22, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 18, 2018
Hilliard Lyons Hold BuyDowngradeJul 29, 2016
ISI Group Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 21, 2014
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 9, 2012
Show less

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $118.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$139$120.46 +17.7%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$135$124.3 +14.4%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$139$125.6 +17.7%Aug 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$129$127.85 +9.3%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$139$132.36 +17.7%Jul 22, 2026
Goldman SachsCarly Davenport$147$132.5 +24.5%Jul 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$138$135.43 +16.9%Jul 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$129$129.26 +9.3%May 21, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$144$131.5 +22.0%May 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$136$132.56 +15.2%May 7, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$140$137.04 +18.6%May 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$133.01 +15.2%Apr 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$144$133.28 +22.0%Apr 21, 2026
Seaport GlobalAngie Storozynski$145$133.66 +22.8%Apr 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$135$135.46 +14.4%Apr 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$133$128.95 +12.7%Feb 20, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$150$128.42 +27.1%Feb 20, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$136$129.94 +15.2%Feb 17, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$141$128.9 +19.4%Feb 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$130$126.43 +10.1%Feb 13, 2026
Wolfe ResearchSteve Fleishman$142$126.43 +20.3%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$121$118.98 +2.5%Jan 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$125$118.29 +5.9%Jan 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$140$119.96 +18.6%Jan 20, 2026
Williams TradingChristopher Ellinghaus$137$115.62 +16.1%Dec 18, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$107$114.57 -9.4%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$120$115.78 +1.7%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$128$121.69 +8.4%Nov 20, 2025
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$137$121.3 +16.1%Nov 17, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$138$122.39 +16.9%Oct 30, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$121$121.93 +2.5%Oct 30, 2025
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$137$121.93 +16.1%Oct 30, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$123$122.11 +4.2%Oct 30, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$126$122.11 +6.7%Oct 30, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$132$116.39 +11.8%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$123$117.85 +4.2%Oct 22, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$128$119.71 +8.4%Oct 16, 2025
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$127$118.53 +7.6%Oct 16, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$117$116.8 -0.9%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$116$116.91 -1.7%Oct 10, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$133$115.66 +12.7%Oct 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$113$108.08 -4.3%Sep 16, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$116$113.25 -1.7%Jul 31, 2025
GuggenheimShahriar Pourreza$115$107.44 -2.6%May 7, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$114$107.02 -3.4%Apr 23, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$111$100.25 -6.0%Oct 4, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$114$101.5 -3.4%Oct 3, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$108$101.62 -8.5%Sep 25, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesPaul Cole$98$99.11 -17.0%Aug 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$102$98.87 -13.6%Aug 23, 2024
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$99$98.29 -16.1%Jul 31, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$104$96.38 -11.9%Jul 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$98$88.8 -17.0%May 28, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$99$91.52 -16.1%May 14, 2024
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$100$88.25 -15.3%May 3, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$95$86.72 -19.5%May 1, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$84$82.1 -28.8%Apr 15, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$112$94.65 -5.1%Feb 2, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$97.14 -6.8%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$104$91.24 -11.9%Nov 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$116$98.63 -1.7%Sep 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$118$103.41 -0.0%Aug 23, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$105$96.26 -11.1%Jul 28, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$106$96.29 -10.2%Jul 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$111$92.71 -6.0%Jul 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$101$91.71 -14.4%Jun 23, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$113$100.03 -4.3%May 23, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$111$102.43 -6.0%Apr 29, 2022
CFRAAnalyst unavailable$108$101.89 -8.5%Apr 28, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$113$100.5 -4.3%Apr 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$117$102.47 -0.9%Apr 20, 2022
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$106$94.74 -10.2%Mar 14, 2022
Goldman SachsMichael Lapides$81$87.06 -31.4%Jul 27, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesJulien Dumoulin Smith$97$85.4 -17.8%Jul 26, 2021
BarclaysEric Beaumont$105$83.7 -11.1%May 25, 2021
Show less

Track every rating change on AEP the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) operates as a prominent electric utility holding company, with its core business encompassing the generation, transmission, and delivery of electricity. Serving both retail and wholesale clients across the United States, AEP organizes its extensive operations into several key segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing. The firm produces its electrical power from a diverse portfolio of energy sources, including coal, lignite, natural gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, solar, and wind power, alongside other emerging technologies. Beyond direct consumer sales, AEP also functions as a major wholesale electricity supplier, providing power to other utility companies, rural electric cooperatives, municipalities, and various other participants within the energy market. Incorporated in 1906, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Columbus, Ohio.

Historical context

All AEP earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the AEP recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:11:08.246853+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T14:22:01.140445+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T14:22:01.137539+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.